Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b505c946491af6a35f43329db459a7e0a790d8d88b80cea9e26b5b53a0b91e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $63,285
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $87,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $63,285 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 70c | 21,002$14,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,300.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 30c | 9,833$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,949.75 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 5,109$1,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,518.2 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 69c | 4,874$3,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,508.33 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 72c | 2,593$1,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.9 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 28c | 2,302$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.56 | 396 | 37.1%147 W · 249 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2575…bf1ebacked Yes | 30c | 2,123$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.05 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 29c | 1,901$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.11 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 1,396$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.37 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 32c | 950$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 33c | 909.44$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 88 | 44.3%39 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 72c | 811.68$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.27 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 19c | 803.18$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.24 | 124 | 26.6%33 W · 91 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 73c | 770.21$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.96 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 72c | 600$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 32c | 468.75$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 123 | 37.4%46 W · 77 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…6e9ebacked Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 29c | 330.45$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 72c | 297$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 237 | 46.8%111 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 76c | 275.7$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 244.63$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.09 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39ea…3d0ebacked Yes | 29c | 209$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 29c | 180.68$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd18d…e7b4backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 72c | 138.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a9…d58bbacked Yes | 32c | 131.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 28c | 122.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.41 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 25c | 117.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Yes | 28c | 105.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…bd1cbacked Yes | 32c | 102.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 34c | 85.97$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 83.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 73c | 82.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 29c | 77.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.48 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 63.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…d25abacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed No | 76c | 57$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 27c | 51.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 48 | 25%12 W · 36 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…50aabacked No | 73c | 51.54$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f2…d776backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 29c | 49.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Yes | 32c | 44.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…a33cbacked Yes | 32c | 43.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 43.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed No | 75c | 39.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed Yes | 32c | 33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…838fbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8e…5984backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed No | 69c | 23.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.22per pick | 69cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 74c | 15.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8e85…443ebacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 14.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.93 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gaziantep FK vs. Kasımpaşa SK end in a draw?this page
- Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-02-09?Yes won
- Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-02-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.