Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ec8fdfa92f157e94f07eaf94501f8a3e8674c60fa63557c70d4b2e05434a8f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,500
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,500 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 72c | 3,704$2,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.13 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 28c | 3,250$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.88 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 2,340$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.74 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 76c | 2,269$1,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.02 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed No | 76c | 1,935$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.3 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 35c | 1,586$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.75 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked No | 77c | 1,287$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 24c | 1,154$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 24c | 1,100$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 552.52$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.17 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 24c | 432.42$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.78 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 25c | 427.52$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6452…30a1backed Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 75c | 373.01$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 364.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac86…b3b3backed No | 56c | 357.65$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d3…a474backed Yes | 27c | 343.52$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes | 28c | 321.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 13c | 300$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 81 | 17.3%14 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 38c | 269.7$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.57 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 40c | 252.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 76c | 241.95$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7388…2887backed No | 76c | 228$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf835…28d3backed No | 73c | 220.08$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 75c | 200.68$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.17 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bde…b181backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 25c | 190.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.55 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 23c | 180$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 84 | 42.9%36 W · 48 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…ac76backed Yes | 25c | 160$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d0…6fc8backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 30c | 155$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…dba8backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 43c | 128.28$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.09 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Yes | 24c | 125$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 88 | 47.7%42 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…ab3ebacked No | 73c | 123.44$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 19c | 117.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 12c | 116.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 28c | 102.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.26 | 105 | 37.1%39 W · 66 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Yes | 16c | 97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 69c | 91.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +6.4wins | +0.18per pick | 64cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x60a0…da0dbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed Yes | 25c | 77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cd…e951backed No | 76c | 65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed Yes | 24c | 64.94$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 75c | 56.21$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c23…a9cdbacked Yes | 24c | 54.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed No | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 56 | 76.8%43 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 73c | 41.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Yes | 25c | 40.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | -12.0wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d8…19c5backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked No | 75c | 23.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x999d…5b2ebacked No | 60c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb0…c615backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK end in a draw?this page
- Will PAOK win on 2026-02-26?No won
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.