Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will PAOK win on 2026-02-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd60d842703601d4d9035584bbe5f80b647af811d9fee93be0f2a7ee44a751291
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $93,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $93,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 7,399$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.74 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 16c | 6,011$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.23 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e7…0365backed Yes | 17c | 3,613$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.21 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 15c | 2,900$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 17c | 2,800$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 16c | 2,574$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 17c | 1,170$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.48 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 1c | 1,022$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 16c | 1,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 123 | 36.6%45 W · 78 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 17c | 761.77$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.5 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 13c | 623.37$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.56 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 81 | 17.3%14 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Yes | 16c | 588.34$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.14 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…fb52backed Yes | 18c | 520.39$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1080…142abacked Yes | 18c | 503.56$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,022 | 47.5%485 W · 537 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…342bbacked Yes | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2d…54cfbacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Yes | 16c | 299.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2787…1c83backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 17c | 222.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.9 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd261…b663backed Yes | 17c | 220$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.4 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -40%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 17c | 180$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes | 15c | 145.87$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.96 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.9wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c21…12bdbacked Yes | 17c | 144.49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ca…6e5ebacked Yes | 18c | 136$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 17cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75f6…f337backed Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd57f…8966backed Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 29cpaid | +106.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae2…8d89backed Yes | 18c | 85.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +101.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 16c | 84.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38f8…95c0backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 18c | 78.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.18 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 17c | 76.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ce…fc99backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…d57bbacked Yes | 17c | 59.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 18c | 56.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will PAOK win on 2026-02-26?this page
- Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. PAOK end in a draw?No won
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-02-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.