TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Bloomfield Hills: Colton Smith vs J.J. Wolf

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
J.J. Wolfof Colton Smith, J.J. Wolf
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$85,640
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,166

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,640 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Colton Smith5c9,629$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.798,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Colton Smith32c5,048$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,635.361,36543.3%591 W · 774 L-26.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Colton Smith48c4,987$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,37630440.5%123 W · 181 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed J.J. Wolf52c4,146$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,981.712,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked J.J. Wolf67c4,027$2,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,322.3711,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Colton Smith48c4,000$1,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9204936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4301…ac39backed Colton Smith36c3,942$1,430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,43019041.6%79 W · 111 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf44…71a4backed J.J. Wolf40c3,500$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.989532.6%31 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac4f…2c7bbacked Colton Smith27c2,156$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5822227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed J.J. Wolf36c1,804$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.811,14941.3%474 W · 675 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc323…0171backed Colton Smith57c1,767$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,006.9531253.2%166 W · 146 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed J.J. Wolf36c1,645$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.031,67948.1%808 W · 871 L+36.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdeff…78f8backed Colton Smith64c1,547$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99043647.2%206 W · 230 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+53.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Colton Smith67c1,493$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00094068.1%640 W · 300 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5ba…06b3backed Colton Smith56c1,324$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74015039.3%59 W · 91 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Colton Smith36c1,257$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.138,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked J.J. Wolf36c1,156$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.131,72948.9%845 W · 884 L+53.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed Colton Smith59c1,107$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.9939046.4%181 W · 209 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked J.J. Wolf43c1,029$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$582.624,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfeab…9cd0backed J.J. Wolf36c1,007$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.7350442.7%215 W · 289 L+12.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed J.J. Wolf56c1,003$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4403,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked J.J. Wolf36c999.99$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.999051.1%46 W · 44 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+23.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed J.J. Wolf54c935.68$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.584,70349.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L+166.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Colton Smith57c878.51$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50062457.7%360 W · 264 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked J.J. Wolf71c833.1$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.674,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc820…f460backed Colton Smith12c801.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.04728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-57%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e41…ca06backed Colton Smith46c699.99$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.092075%15 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+15%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d32…ae18backed J.J. Wolf75c666.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.677851.3%40 W · 38 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed J.J. Wolf49c609.27$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.813,66145.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L-8.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed J.J. Wolf34c599.99$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.237,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked J.J. Wolf64c597.83$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.586,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Colton Smith64c595.68$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.012,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ee…0db4backed Colton Smith34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20054547.9%261 W · 284 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed J.J. Wolf35c501.06$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.691,12551.1%575 W · 550 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Colton Smith64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32070652.7%372 W · 334 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed J.J. Wolf65c499.11$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.375,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa64…9dcdbacked Colton Smith64c468.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked J.J. Wolf68c460.8$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.291,79546.6%837 W · 958 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed J.J. Wolf33c453.99$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.182,17436.9%802 W · 1,372 L+39.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed Colton Smith62c447.56$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.496467.2%43 W · 21 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Colton Smith39c433.4$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.681,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked J.J. Wolf69c400$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.11,62652.7%857 W · 769 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Colton Smith5c372.95$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019626%51 W · 145 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed J.J. Wolf36c307.76$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$197.2792237.4%345 W · 577 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed Colton Smith64c289.88$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.5220565.4%134 W · 71 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked J.J. Wolf38c220.78$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.529533.6%99 W · 196 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f0c…7047backed J.J. Wolf45c215.87$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.7325633.6%86 W · 170 L-17.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked J.J. Wolf25c204$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1533,42439.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L-12.3wins0.00per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Colton Smith59c202.69$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12026263%165 W · 97 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked J.J. Wolf37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.412,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x62f9…ae42backed Colton Smith32c175.63$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.210451.9%54 W · 50 L-7.9wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x065c…47debacked Colton Smith58c167.48$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.1413850.7%70 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c8…0dabbacked Colton Smith62c161.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006752.2%35 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Colton Smith31c160.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.721,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Colton Smith62c160.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009849%48 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Colton Smith64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12b8…ff48backed Colton Smith65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010955%60 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x288d…053abacked Colton Smith78c153.85$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205058%29 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb0…c615backed Colton Smith61c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.58456%47 W · 37 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71f5…4ccebacked Colton Smith12c137.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5122651.8%117 W · 109 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+18.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfea6…b795backed Colton Smith33c136.61$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4754141.4%224 W · 317 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed J.J. Wolf63c131.25$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.352,04453.8%1,100 W · 944 L+61.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74fc…492cbacked Colton Smith76c130.71$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3417972.6%130 W · 49 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick76cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed J.J. Wolf38c130.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.415,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48de…95babacked Colton Smith44c128.98$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.7562545.4%284 W · 341 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked J.J. Wolf61c121.24$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.686,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Colton Smith13c117.21$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.243,60542.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L-43.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ce9…6cfdbacked J.J. Wolf45c108.89$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8910753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f06…8ebebacked Colton Smith53c103.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5520553.7%110 W · 95 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Colton Smith57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571,54149.2%758 W · 783 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7179…7d79backed Colton Smith57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572,60146.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L+18.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Colton Smith64c96$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.441,22753.2%653 W · 574 L-5.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked J.J. Wolf35c95.37$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.533,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d0a…ea32backed Colton Smith23c87.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043618.3%80 W · 356 L-21.4wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Colton Smith58c86.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.353,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaef0…b68abacked Colton Smith32c82.25$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.329738.1%37 W · 60 L-7.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-29.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed J.J. Wolf36c81.56$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.21,25044.7%559 W · 691 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc589…f838backed Colton Smith64c77.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Colton Smith31c76.53$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4887741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x78fe…df2fbacked Colton Smith66c71.36$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.110056%56 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed J.J. Wolf36c70$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.81,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x42e9…80c7backed Colton Smith60c66.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4018343.7%80 W · 103 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed J.J. Wolf37c65.51$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.273,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4093…5749backed J.J. Wolf67c60.25$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.972,85549.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73fa…f396backed Colton Smith57c59$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.631233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-36.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75e2…2ed0backed Colton Smith64c55.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.4130860.1%185 W · 123 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Colton Smith61c54.31$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Colton Smith64c47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.261,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce0…9d0bbacked Colton Smith76c46.05$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3524159.3%143 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f12…eeb9backed Colton Smith60c41.25$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7529147.8%139 W · 152 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e37…5bdbbacked Colton Smith61c40.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7519852.5%104 W · 94 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2262…21a1backed J.J. Wolf65c39.48$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.6876355.6%424 W · 339 L+29.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Colton Smith45c35.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed J.J. Wolf37c31.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.991,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Colton Smith63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2081457%464 W · 350 L+19.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed J.J. Wolf36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.241045.1%185 W · 225 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Colton Smith59c29.98$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6957449.1%282 W · 292 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52c1…297cbacked Colton Smith64c29.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.81450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c5…b5e9backed Colton Smith61c28.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.523162.8%145 W · 86 L+0.6wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdbe…e45bbacked J.J. Wolf35c28.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.633048.8%161 W · 169 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.