MLB · resolved market
KBO: LG Twins vs. Kia Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c23f1597c7e31b289b1029fdc9d234cfeb1c9bef07043d906711867885f39b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LG Twinsof LG Twins, Kia Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Kia Tigers | 37c | 2,270$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.16 | 390 | 41%160 W · 230 L | -22.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kia Tigers | 13c | 908.12$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.77 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed LG Twins | 64c | 907.11$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.48 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked LG Twins | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 144 | 57.6%83 W · 61 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kia Tigers | 17c | 560.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.2 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…2f5ebacked Kia Tigers | 17c | 525$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.38 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Kia Tigers | 33c | 518.61$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.32 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked Kia Tigers | 36c | 511.94$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.3 | 213 | 48.4%103 W · 110 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed LG Twins | 80c | 442.44$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.19 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked LG Twins | 68c | 379.6$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 1,819 | 49.3%896 W · 923 L | -24.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…6b3dbacked LG Twins | 65c | 308.66$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.66 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Kia Tigers | 33c | 289.75$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.37 | 999 | 47.5%475 W · 524 L | -3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2230…c3b7backed Kia Tigers | 16c | 287.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.73 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed LG Twins | 63c | 237.4$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.84 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…8200backed Kia Tigers | 37c | 235.09$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 227 | 44.9%102 W · 125 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked LG Twins | 64c | 200$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 240 | 59.2%142 W · 98 L | +18.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x630a…f06bbacked Kia Tigers | 17c | 178.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -8.1wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked LG Twins | 62c | 176.92$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.26 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Kia Tigers | 20c | 163.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed LG Twins | 66c | 154.97$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 4,515 | 48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L | -46.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked LG Twins | 68c | 102.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed LG Twins | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Kia Tigers | 19c | 79.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 1,928 | 17.2%331 W · 1,597 L | -320.9wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Kia Tigers | 33c | 72.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 600 | 39%234 W · 366 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…6d74backed Kia Tigers | 34c | 59.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Kia Tigers | 32c | 56.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed LG Twins | 65c | 53.17$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed LG Twins | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 778 | 52.2%406 W · 372 L | +36.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27ca…e628backed Kia Tigers | 33c | 48.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67d2…a008backed LG Twins | 69c | 43.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 135 | 65.2%88 W · 47 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kia Tigers | 34c | 41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Kia Tigers | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked LG Twins | 64c | 37.84$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.62 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Kia Tigers | 35c | 37.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed LG Twins | 64c | 36.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 343 | 55.4%190 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb4…da3cbacked LG Twins | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed LG Twins | 66c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.86 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…1331backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 27.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc2…592ebacked LG Twins | 50c | 27.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1151…e010backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 24.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4d…8626backed LG Twins | 50c | 24.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe87…71fcbacked Kia Tigers | 50c | 22.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1b…7333backed LG Twins | 50c | 22.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039b…89a3backed LG Twins | 50c | 22.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x045a…e4c7backed Kia Tigers | 50c | 22.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked LG Twins | 64c | 20.23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed LG Twins | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f9…6024backed LG Twins | 69c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 162 | 58%94 W · 68 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed LG Twins | 65c | 15.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc6eb…65a7backed LG Twins | 77c | 13.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.