MLB · resolved market
KBO: KT Wiz vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b8fff42085ea1ca07582dac38ff83cc8b818f549ad375ab47ac194cfca0ca86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- KT Wizof KT Wiz, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,114
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,396
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,114 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked KT Wiz | 62c | 1,874$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.41 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 1,367$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.91 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Doosan Bears | 37c | 1,184$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.22 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…291ebacked KT Wiz | 58c | 1,094$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.01 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 686.35$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.67 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed KT Wiz | 61c | 412.86$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.39 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KT Wiz | 59c | 382.18$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.85 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed KT Wiz | 61c | 362.77$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.96 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Doosan Bears | 38c | 354.5$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.47 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 319.99$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.6 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…e13ebacked Doosan Bears | 10c | 306.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.88 | 124 | 28.2%35 W · 89 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Doosan Bears | 18c | 301.55$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 105 | 44.8%47 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed4e…916fbacked KT Wiz | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2613…12bdbacked KT Wiz | 57c | 299.22$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.66 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Doosan Bears | 40c | 295.23$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.64 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…6b3dbacked KT Wiz | 59c | 169.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Doosan Bears | 30c | 168.44$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5de…33b5backed Doosan Bears | 45c | 155.56$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Doosan Bears | 16c | 145.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…2b92backed Doosan Bears | 44c | 141.69$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.34 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KT Wiz | 70c | 131.97$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.59 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed KT Wiz | 62c | 123.2$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.82 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Doosan Bears | 40c | 103$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.2 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed KT Wiz | 56c | 93.11$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 85.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 39c | 80.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed KT Wiz | 55c | 80.39$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…ebe7backed KT Wiz | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 74.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked KT Wiz | 58c | 72.31$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.55 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 70.86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…83f7backed KT Wiz | 61c | 65.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.91 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 176 | 45.5%80 W · 96 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.95 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +23.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked KT Wiz | 68c | 61$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed KT Wiz | 76c | 60.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53d4…bc4dbacked KT Wiz | 58c | 60.26$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.06 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb1…8436backed Doosan Bears | 33c | 60.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Doosan Bears | 37c | 54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 52.65$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.24 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked KT Wiz | 62c | 50.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Doosan Bears | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed KT Wiz | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 48.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 48.4%123 W · 131 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Doosan Bears | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…8066backed Doosan Bears | 39c | 48.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked KT Wiz | 71c | 48.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Doosan Bears | 43c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +22.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa402…d14bbacked Doosan Bears | 42c | 31.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 221 | 51.6%114 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332c…ae23backed KT Wiz | 56c | 30.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.31per pick | 59cpaid | +53%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked Doosan Bears | 41c | 27.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked KT Wiz | 60c | 26.1$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb1…e1d6backed Doosan Bears | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93d…27a0backed KT Wiz | 57c | 23.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 373 | 49.6%185 W · 188 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd651…bff1backed KT Wiz | 65c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked KT Wiz | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c8…a25cbacked KT Wiz | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed KT Wiz | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed KT Wiz | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…a117backed KT Wiz | 76c | 18.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed KT Wiz | 78c | 16.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 132 | 55.3%73 W · 59 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.