MLB · resolved market
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Doosan Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90a51ba96e7b6a5ffc19ec7f3b5d3e2017d9fba5090fc544008701d434e6c62a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SSG Landersof SSG Landers, Doosan Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,944
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,020
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,944 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7caa…e1c4backed SSG Landers | 38c | 782.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SSG Landers | 63c | 619.39$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.09 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Doosan Bears | 12c | 587.18$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.67 | 301 | 40.5%122 W · 179 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc402…83f7backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 451.36$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.79 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Doosan Bears | 61c | 321.55$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.15 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Doosan Bears | 67c | 300.46$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…5a62backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 209.25$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.71 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Doosan Bears | 67c | 200$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 411 | 52.3%215 W · 196 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…f683backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 199.99$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 260 | 49.6%129 W · 131 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb84…4a20backed Doosan Bears | 18c | 195.11$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed SSG Landers | 71c | 195$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.25 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 8c | 163$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…95a2backed SSG Landers | 35c | 160.69$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…34b6backed SSG Landers | 33c | 159.99$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.39 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed SSG Landers | 35c | 156.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.25 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…5fecbacked Doosan Bears | 64c | 152.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.02 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed SSG Landers | 35c | 128.8$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.15 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…aa9dbacked Doosan Bears | 22c | 117.91$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 94 | 24.5%23 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SSG Landers | 34c | 113.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked SSG Landers | 71c | 106$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked SSG Landers | 51c | 102.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 557 | 58%323 W · 234 L | +24.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Doosan Bears | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac31…9ac0backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc0…7bf6backed Doosan Bears | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.3 | 205 | 48.8%100 W · 105 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Doosan Bears | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 39cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe481…d138backed SSG Landers | 34c | 82.6$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.51 | 882 | 47.7%421 W · 461 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2465…5d84backed SSG Landers | 76c | 78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 1,100 | 79.6%876 W · 224 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 77cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed SSG Landers | 33c | 74.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.24 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…e6d8backed Doosan Bears | 66c | 69.98$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.99 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed SSG Landers | 34c | 68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed SSG Landers | 32c | 66.36$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 590 | 38.8%229 W · 361 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed Doosan Bears | 61c | 65.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SSG Landers | 63c | 61$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Doosan Bears | 67c | 50.52$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.61 | 1,001 | 57.3%574 W · 427 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…6b3dbacked Doosan Bears | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Doosan Bears | 62c | 48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5430…fbbbbacked SSG Landers | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 808 | 55.3%447 W · 361 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed SSG Landers | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked SSG Landers | 32c | 33.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.92 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Doosan Bears | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc547…c570backed Doosan Bears | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa80b…02d6backed SSG Landers | 38c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8793…9c83backed Doosan Bears | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…6358backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -5.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x170a…c8a9backed Doosan Bears | 66c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 106 | 61.3%65 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42fe…b1d0backed SSG Landers | 67c | 16.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.