TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will David Lipsky win the 2026 Valspar Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,664 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x661d…4dc6backed No77c4,728$3,628 inWon+$1,100.24951%25 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd57d…80d0backed Yes21c2,867$593 inLost-$593.17260%0 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Yes35c1,501$530 inLost-$530.274928.6%14 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-40.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe5eb…c512backed Yes18c811.99$149 inLost-$149.26166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-91.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf013…74f7backed Yes11c781.7$86 inLost-$86.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ca…5d19backed No79c702$552 inWon+$149.642441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-27.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Yes9c683$58 inLost-$58.067031.4%22 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-41.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Yes10c552$53 inLost-$53.4510123.8%24 W · 77 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick16cpaid+44%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x57e9…df05backed Yes19c527.98$100 inLost-$100333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick15cpaid+233.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd96a…d8cebacked Yes9c183.9$16 inLost-$165516.4%9 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-56%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes13c170$22 inLost-$21.993525.7%9 W · 26 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-49.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0828…5cfebacked No73c159.79$117 inWon+$43.13875%6 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2b6…d7cebacked No72c151.09$108 inWon+$43.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Yes8c139.83$11 inLost-$10.831010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc30f…b556backed Yes22c138.64$30 inLost-$301833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5c…9e02backed No74c106.59$79 inWon+$27.64887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick68cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes15c91$14 inLost-$13.7410850%54 W · 54 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xceb7…8b33backed No74c73.96$55 inWon+$19.1966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74f4…f664backed Yes15c67$10 inLost-$10.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dff…e1bdbacked Yes18c55.66$10 inLost-$103517.1%6 W · 29 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-61.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x59fe…14fdbacked No76c54.99$42 inWon+$13.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick72cpaid-56.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x917b…e433backed No67c53.33$36 inWon+$17.77580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+22.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked No66c49.76$33 inWon+$16.72560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-17.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f34…2f50backed No76c35.86$27 inWon+$8.691560%9 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6680…0535backed No66c27.44$18 inWon+$9.22580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+10.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.