Premier League · resolved market
Will Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c05d68b468bc5163ce69c05dc73fdc67eb43e243692bcee54992ab02f69cb3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,462
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,409
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,462 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,250$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.29 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 669.61$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.37 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 74c | 597.86$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.34 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c29…e322backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 72c | 363.71$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.84 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd55…c9bfbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +11.5wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +32%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 28c | 332.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Yes | 25c | 283$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 17c | 246.96$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 252 | 25%63 W · 189 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 25c | 194.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.13 | 571 | 50.4%288 W · 283 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 24c | 167.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 26c | 113.91$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 21c | 113.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 109.57$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 25c | 91.96$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 200 | 27%54 W · 146 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 26c | 81.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8209…bff8backed Yes | 25c | 80.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…81e0backed Yes | 17c | 74.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 27c | 69.8$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 26c | 61.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Yes | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…f99abacked Yes | 28c | 53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.84 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 78c | 47.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 395 | 55.9%221 W · 174 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 78c | 47.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 288 | 59.7%172 W · 116 L | +19.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 78c | 47.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 78c | 47.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 78c | 47.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 78c | 47.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 275 | 52.7%145 W · 130 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 78c | 47.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 125 | 61.6%77 W · 48 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 78c | 47.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 300 | 57%171 W · 129 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed No | 78c | 47.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 78c | 47.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed No | 78c | 47.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed No | 73c | 45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 279 | 48%134 W · 145 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed No | 74c | 44.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…e910backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.19per pick | 24cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 78c | 32.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 111 | 64%71 W · 40 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36cb…5bb7backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed No | 78c | 19.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.21 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed No | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfedc…61d1backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 41 | 68.3%28 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-04-06?Yes won
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.