Premier League · resolved market
Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3430f4e549c371ea67c3e717737b00c324c444f8b133e8f8c37304290a98221
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,615
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,615 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 8c | 3,802$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.94 | 4,874 | 41.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 11c | 2,353$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.53 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Yes | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 141 | 38.3%54 W · 87 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 39c | 1,109$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.32 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Yes | 4c | 866.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.35 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 6c | 688.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 257 | 25.3%65 W · 192 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 12c | 644.85$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 10c | 399.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…bd4abacked Yes | 13c | 385.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 312.67$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 652 | 44.6%291 W · 361 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 741 | 50.9%377 W · 364 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 38c | 253.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.38 | 1,305 | 42.4%553 W · 752 L | -28.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1,080 | 45.2%488 W · 592 L | -19.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 38c | 249.23$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.71 | 968 | 43.8%424 W · 544 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 60c | 241.76$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.5 | 1,019 | 51.6%526 W · 493 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 241.64$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.75 | 2,606 | 47.7%1,242 W · 1,364 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked No | 62c | 210$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed No | 62c | 210$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 63c | 194.9$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.19 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Yes | 13c | 193.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 272 | 27.9%76 W · 196 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed No | 62c | 185$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.3 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 180.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 6,217 | 45.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L | -33.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Yes | 37c | 180$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 518 | 47.3%245 W · 273 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 35c | 173$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.55 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 166$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3f90…4e02backed Yes | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 65c | 103.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 39c | 102.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 760 | 50%380 W · 380 L | +20.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 16c | 100.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 452 | 24.8%112 W · 340 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked No | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.06 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +4.6wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +43%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 35c | 98.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.58 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 61c | 59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 866 | 48.7%422 W · 444 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Yes | 35c | 36.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc193…5160backed No | 59c | 34.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.29 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…33f4backed No | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c08…e7b6backed Yes | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 62c | 28.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed No | 69c | 21.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 20.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 1,786 | 34.9%623 W · 1,163 L | -34.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sheffield United FC win on 2026-04-06?this page
- Will Bristol City FC vs. Sheffield United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Bristol City FC win on 2026-04-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.