Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeee971b3b9ec056349cdabeb43384413ad0465e3ab80d3493cb72b2e63201d61
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,973
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,914
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,973 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,119.93 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d3…55b0backed Yes | 27c | 1,869$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,356.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 75c | 1,417$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.35 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 25c | 1,369$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.32 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,292$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.6 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 74c | 689.36$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.24 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 79c | 608.3$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.49 | 235 | 56.2%132 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 75c | 589.16$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.7 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 59c | 540.02$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.06 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed No | 78c | 455.24$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.09 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 25c | 402.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.35 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 60c | 399.45$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.48 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 16c | 390.89$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.27 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 73c | 374.58$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.44 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 371.69$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.63 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae6…095ebacked Yes | 26c | 342.67$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 78c | 297.32$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.91 | 167 | 57.5%96 W · 71 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…82d1backed Yes | 75c | 266.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Yes | 24c | 229.09$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.21 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 8c | 182.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 773 | 36.4%281 W · 492 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Yes | 75c | 159.75$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.94 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 23c | 157$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Yes | 75c | 144.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 27c | 144.33$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.36 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 73c | 139.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.71 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5465…ba43backed No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 71.6%78 W · 31 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 131.65$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.1 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 108 | 61.1%66 W · 42 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x694c…eb70backed Yes | 27c | 120$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.6 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 26c | 108.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.25 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 78c | 105.01$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.91 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Yes | 27c | 104.22$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.08 | 91 | 13.2%12 W · 79 L | -9.5wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 85.11$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 515 | 16.1%83 W · 432 L | -49.9wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed No | 31c | 80$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 28 | 7.1%2 W · 26 L | -6.1wins | -0.22per pick | 29cpaid | -75.2%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 19c | 72.16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 419 | 56.3%236 W · 183 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 73c | 70.94$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 101 | 68.3%69 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked No | 74c | 68.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.93 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 74c | 60$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 27c | 58.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29c…a31dbacked No | 18c | 54.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +5.5wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 74c | 48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.52 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 66c | 43$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Yes | 27c | 39.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.15 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 74c | 29.73$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Yes | 66c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +7.2wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Yes | 78c | 14.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.22 | 183 | 58.5%107 W · 76 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 13.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 76c | 13.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 423 | 24.3%103 W · 320 L | -36.4wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -47%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC vs. Portsmouth FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2026-04-03?No won
- Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-04-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.