TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Sarasota: Duje Ajdukovic vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Duje Ajdukovicof Duje Ajdukovic, Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$37,751
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,404

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,751 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg18c2,302$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.929,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb23b…503fbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg39c2,000$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7881450%7 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg33c1,525$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.8627940.1%112 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Duje Ajdukovic76c1,320$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.424,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Duje Ajdukovic59c1,300$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.644,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Duje Ajdukovic76c1,278$974 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.157,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb7f…9da6backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg10c1,150$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.022133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3d5…7ca1backed Duje Ajdukovic76c728.36$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.1825756%144 W · 113 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg41c668.22$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.593,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Duje Ajdukovic78c568.51$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.632,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg33c486.62$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.576,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Duje Ajdukovic63c357.05$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.161,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea48…62dcbacked Duje Ajdukovic55c352.96$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.059947.5%47 W · 52 L-5.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7a5…f64abacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg57c341.88$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.8484963.1%536 W · 313 L+0.5wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc866…8c6dbacked Duje Ajdukovic61c337.65$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.6527247.4%129 W · 143 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb002…103dbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg55c297.21$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.4736852.7%194 W · 174 L+13.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg33c290.85$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9812831.3%40 W · 88 L-20.8wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xc0cc…275cbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg37c259.79$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.227732.5%25 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Duje Ajdukovic62c219.93$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.632,08952.2%1,090 W · 999 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg34c186.32$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4230844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd07…8d16backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg55c181.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.086354%34 W · 29 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Duje Ajdukovic44c180.95$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.677,18349.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L+112.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg38c173.96$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.7411,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Duje Ajdukovic54c173.78$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.329,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9663…5b70backed Duje Ajdukovic46c170.78$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3786647.9%415 W · 451 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg54c170.23$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.924639.1%18 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg38c168.51$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.0227331.5%86 W · 187 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb70…6c66backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg56c140.91$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.911936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg33c134.36$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.1558248.3%281 W · 301 L+15.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg30c126.94$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.183,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x63c4…26f2backed Duje Ajdukovic45c121.26$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.6917145.6%78 W · 93 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb20f…5737backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg17c114.83$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.383234.4%11 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg56c112.67$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0919344.6%86 W · 107 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg17c109.39$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.786,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa163…934dbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1430715.6%48 W · 259 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4820…c613backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg34c99.87$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.710829.6%32 W · 76 L-9.3wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg46c99.34$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9336135.7%129 W · 232 L-35.1wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Duje Ajdukovic54c99.21$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.741,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg56c94.44$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.891,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6617…dfb9backed Duje Ajdukovic44c93.3$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2524249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg38c89.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.952,43350.8%1,236 W · 1,197 L+81.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg33c89.17$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.427,96850.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L+92.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg53c85.03$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.732,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc274…86debacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg26c81.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.1249342.8%211 W · 282 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg24c79.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.0913863%87 W · 51 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Duje Ajdukovic44c77$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.122,04347.8%977 W · 1,066 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Duje Ajdukovic58c75.07$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.32,13556%1,195 W · 940 L+41.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ed…72efbacked Duje Ajdukovic50c73.54$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7738754.3%210 W · 177 L+11.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4158…4961backed Duje Ajdukovic58c71.08$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.899744.3%43 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg30c70.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.26,84048.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L+58.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Duje Ajdukovic46c69.03$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.934,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xccbd…f1b7backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg54c69$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.2611040.9%45 W · 65 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a0…f673backed Duje Ajdukovic44c66$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.961735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg38c65.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.761,51224.1%364 W · 1,148 L-41.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg43c65.04$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.818,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Duje Ajdukovic45c64.47$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.4611959.7%71 W · 48 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67b5…7276backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg42c59.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.8627147.2%128 W · 143 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa64c…34f2backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg56c58.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.7133747.2%159 W · 178 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5e0…457fbacked Duje Ajdukovic44c57.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3212361%75 W · 48 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x713d…ba88backed Duje Ajdukovic79c52.49$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.021580%12 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Duje Ajdukovic45c52.22$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.7282055%451 W · 369 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Duje Ajdukovic77c51.42$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.981,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg56c50.21$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.122,44051.7%1,261 W · 1,179 L+9.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c3…079fbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg49c49.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3990064.3%579 W · 321 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg33c45.49$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0627240.4%110 W · 162 L-25.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-26.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg55c45.44$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9997745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Duje Ajdukovic44c43.36$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.281,24041.2%511 W · 729 L-2.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x410c…15f7backed Duje Ajdukovic44c42.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.019856.1%55 W · 43 L+3.8wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ff1…4766backed Duje Ajdukovic46c42.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7216762.3%104 W · 63 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg56c39.99$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.3988560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c4…fce5backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg37c39.01$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4381956.9%466 W · 353 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0154…30f7backed Duje Ajdukovic56c34.77$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.352457.4%301 W · 223 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Duje Ajdukovic56c34.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0764755%356 W · 291 L-16.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg39c33.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2664358.8%378 W · 265 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b1e…9ce2backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg55c33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.071963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0206…8700backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg45c31.34$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe46d…8b87backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg57c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.16550.8%33 W · 32 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.145051.8%233 W · 217 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa764…7014backed Duje Ajdukovic45c28.56$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.711952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg44c28.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.453,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5cfe…4776backed Duje Ajdukovic73c27.09$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.323562.9%22 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa738…ddedbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg44c24.51$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.876,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4daa…8923backed Duje Ajdukovic70c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.65269.2%36 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Duje Ajdukovic69c20.61$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.3957267.3%385 W · 187 L+33.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x586d…fb12backed Duje Ajdukovic76c20.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8121172%152 W · 59 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Duje Ajdukovic66c19.59$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.6695846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.