TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Spread: Vancouver Whitecaps FC (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Portland Timbersof Vancouver Whitecaps FC, Portland Timbers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$127,106
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$128,081

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,106 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf5f9…87b0backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC55c120,412$65,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,960.59649%47 W · 49 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Portland Timbers45c19,120$8,668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,451.463,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0767…36b0backed Portland Timbers46c17,069$7,828 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,241.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+98.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Portland Timbers45c13,152$5,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,222.0442947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd3…dba6backed Portland Timbers45c9,200$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0602065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Portland Timbers45c6,797$3,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,714.5923858%138 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Portland Timbers45c6,667$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,666.673855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Portland Timbers45c5,599$2,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,079.6713948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Portland Timbers45c4,443$1,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,443.6513347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Portland Timbers45c4,202$1,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,313.268845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x882a…cde2backed Portland Timbers45c3,946$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,166.542646.2%12 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Portland Timbers46c3,628$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.2237138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Portland Timbers45c2,222$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,222.228946.1%41 W · 48 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Portland Timbers45c2,151$969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,18214151.8%73 W · 68 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Portland Timbers45c2,048$922 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.228563.5%54 W · 31 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5bd…b891backed Portland Timbers45c1,623$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.883863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked Portland Timbers45c1,352$609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$743.0710655.7%59 W · 47 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Portland Timbers46c1,322$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.89458.5%55 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC54c1,111$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6003046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed Portland Timbers45c1,107$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.014447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Portland Timbers45c1,106$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.489452.1%49 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce1…4f4cbacked Portland Timbers45c1,105$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$606.062941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-30.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC51c1,078$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.7213053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Portland Timbers45c1,048$473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.8458043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Portland Timbers45c941.41$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$517.249250%46 W · 46 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Portland Timbers38c940.94$356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.294126.8%11 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc9b7…93ebbacked Portland Timbers45c773.67$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.673351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Portland Timbers46c765.61$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.3397146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Portland Timbers45c663.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.943060%18 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07d0…1310backed Portland Timbers45c553.17$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.241190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.3wins+0.30per pick61cpaid+51.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Portland Timbers46c543.48$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.486752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf69c…44dbbacked Vancouver Whitecaps FC63c517.64$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3251478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick52cpaid+61.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ee7…4c1abacked Portland Timbers45c510.45$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.93743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Portland Timbers45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27511854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ea3…71a1backed Portland Timbers45c481.16$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.42965.5%19 W · 10 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Portland Timbers45c444.42$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.435160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadb9…ef55backed Portland Timbers45c440.34$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.342450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Portland Timbers45c439.61$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.617542.7%32 W · 43 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdd9c…2a50backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC75c399.53$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+44.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Portland Timbers45c345.09$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.4782044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x370e…5df3backed Portland Timbers48c310$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.711441.2%47 W · 67 L-10.3wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-8.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c8a…02acbacked Portland Timbers46c308.67$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.922931%9 W · 20 L-3.8wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-40.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c15…9667backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC52c300$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1568853.4%47 W · 41 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Portland Timbers46c239.57$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.391,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Portland Timbers45c234.73$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.13461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+17.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2a53…074abacked Portland Timbers45c234.73$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.11952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xae7b…aec1backed Portland Timbers45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.221241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Portland Timbers45c222.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.096454.7%35 W · 29 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Portland Timbers45c219.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.993565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Portland Timbers45c219.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9624859.3%147 W · 101 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked Portland Timbers45c219.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.966358.7%37 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd208…cbcdbacked Portland Timbers46c218.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.122744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22e8…8435backed Portland Timbers46c210.73$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.681323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick39cpaid-46.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1065326.4%14 W · 39 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8584…6b7dbacked Portland Timbers46c197.23$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.631540%6 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-31.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85b8…9d57backed Portland Timbers46c184.74$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.761942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xce06…c99dbacked Portland Timbers46c184.74$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.761625%4 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-54.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf6de…95e8backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC23c150$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2539234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Portland Timbers59c132.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.3639567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x9cf7…a506backed Portland Timbers73c132$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.64560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bec…c707backed Portland Timbers46c130.43$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.432259.1%13 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Portland Timbers45c125$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7555750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Portland Timbers45c125$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.7568550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa975…42eebacked Portland Timbers46c109.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.714858.3%28 W · 20 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4e8…ff03backed Portland Timbers46c108.88$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.883470.6%24 W · 10 L+5.3wins+0.16per pick55cpaid+29.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Portland Timbers61c100.37$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.3746156.2%259 W · 202 L+13.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe777…c734backed Portland Timbers45c95.96$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.782343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85ad…d3fbbacked Portland Timbers46c92.35$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.871266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC54c90.59$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.712433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-26.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x231f…254bbacked Portland Timbers45c89.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.061136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Portland Timbers45c71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.771,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Portland Timbers64c65.41$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.812147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Portland Timbers46c65.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Portland Timbers60c63.36$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5321545.1%97 W · 118 L-20.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-29.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3a15…52d6backed Portland Timbers46c63$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.024369.8%30 W · 13 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8d7…406dbacked Portland Timbers45c61.61$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.852955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e73…3f4ebacked Portland Timbers46c59.92$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.484753.2%25 W · 22 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0198…37e6backed Portland Timbers45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.56742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x06e7…3acabacked Portland Timbers45c55.53$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.545950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x63c3…a7fdbacked Portland Timbers46c54.35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.35366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Portland Timbers46c53.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.716555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Portland Timbers45c51.02$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.061275%9 W · 3 L+3.4wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+44.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6d63…0b78backed Portland Timbers65c48.52$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9c…1700backed Portland Timbers45c45.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.291250%6 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x27b1…6a0bbacked Portland Timbers46c45.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Portland Timbers46c43.34$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.44955.1%27 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5470…7685backed Portland Timbers45c41.76$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.97333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Vancouver Whitecaps FC55c36.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.272548%12 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1968…8c66backed Portland Timbers45c36$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.81060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d84…4b14backed Portland Timbers45c31.69$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1508…5760backed Portland Timbers45c29.26$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.091060%6 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe02…5fb3backed Portland Timbers45c26.47$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.561090%9 W · 1 L+3.8wins+0.38per pick52cpaid+79.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Portland Timbers47c23.41$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4117858.4%104 W · 74 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.