TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

New England Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$296,151

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $296,151 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Under49c271,238$131,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131,768.9715647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over51c45,348$22,981 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,367.0513053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over51c34,141$17,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,838.681668.8%11 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+25.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over51c18,914$9,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,188.033,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over52c18,184$9,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,803.248845.5%40 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xed8f…5aa7backed Over52c18,146$9,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,710.291233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over51c15,143$7,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,384.462133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-33.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over52c14,000$7,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6855054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Over52c10,350$5,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,967.812166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.7wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over52c7,787$4,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,741.6697146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over52c7,500$3,925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5755251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Over52c7,315$3,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,511.22181%17 W · 4 L+6.2wins+0.29per pick52cpaid+55.4%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xd3f9…62bfbacked Over52c7,000$3,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,3603100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+103.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4e1abacked Over50c6,725$3,376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.32520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-60.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over52c6,455$3,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,109.8177751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over53c6,122$3,214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,907.8725149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over51c5,526$2,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,709.732934.5%10 W · 19 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1736…5487backed Over52c5,225$2,717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over52c4,000$2,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9202360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Over52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.15540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef21…3dc9backed Over51c2,780$1,418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,362.391421.4%3 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.31per pick52cpaid-63%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over39c2,359$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,442.274035%14 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under61c1,975$1,205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.9187154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over52c1,600$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7643655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75013347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over52c1,500$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7154456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Under51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Over52c1,080$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.43253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.913948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8f3…aacbbacked Over61c872.59$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over52c865.38$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.389151.6%47 W · 44 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Over52c826.92$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.927542.7%32 W · 43 L-8.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-26.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x934e…e7c0backed Over50c820$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+37.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Under45c739$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.552941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over52c600$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2886155.7%34 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over52c600$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.519657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over52c600$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.54961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over52c600$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.54459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08ce…f301backed Over45c578.14$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.372665.4%17 W · 9 L+7.5wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+92.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over52c576$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.4820648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b4b…f7fdbacked Over50c550$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c548.02$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.8142947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over51c544.74$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.197150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd4d1…086ebacked Over50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over59c470.49$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.5882044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over52c400$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1913759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over52c400$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19113557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over52c375$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.755257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Over45c363.63$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20015458.4%90 W · 64 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over52c360$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.95556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over52c360$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.95154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over52c345$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.455651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf639…b945backed Under50c337.52$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.76475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+27.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over53c300$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.58653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over53c300$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.53354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over52c300$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1435152.9%27 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ca7…0c48backed Over51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1471376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.25per pick52cpaid+51.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over52c300$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.2520154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Over52c257.83$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.9610648.1%51 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98e9…8dbebacked Over66c254.64$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.581258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1504645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d12…a4c4backed Over48c247.7$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.334271.4%30 W · 12 L+8.5wins+0.20per pick51cpaid+48.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c241.1$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.3958043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.65352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.66256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.65046%23 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.65352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over52c240$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.65152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over51c237.81$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.152263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2cb3…78e9backed Over50c237.54$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.77785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.6wins+0.36per pick49cpaid+84.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Over53c225$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.754656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over51c222.21$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.2513950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c09…4418backed Over52c211.71$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed Over51c207$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.431266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+22.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over52c206.13$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.9439234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.740%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10010853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9611854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Under40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809957.6%57 W · 42 L+13.1wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+40.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Over50c198.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.192458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over72c186.02$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5439567.1%265 W · 130 L+60.8wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+45.3%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over52c180$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.85056%28 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over52c180$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.84953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over53c173.71$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.0237138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over50c170$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1762…c83ebacked Over51c156.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over53c150$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.56256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over55c136.36$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3610562.9%66 W · 39 L+9.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over51c121.44$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.18251.2%42 W · 40 L+12.1wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+41.2%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over53c120$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over53c120$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over53c120$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575149%25 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over53c120$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574951%25 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over65c118.18$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.241,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under25c117$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.251,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over52c115.38$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.384957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over52c106.92$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.112965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Over53c105$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.359058.9%53 W · 37 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Over50c104.01$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.844259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.