Mls · resolved market
New England Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd82a6f6544e79c3d5e2b29f6505eeb00ffc1e658af15e1245906c1e4ccbae0cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,423
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,423 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50cf…1cc3backed No | 44c | 6,369$2,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,802.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e19…59f3backed No | 45c | 5,363$2,394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0b…446bbacked No | 41c | 4,702$1,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,927.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe917…4bdfbacked Yes | 56c | 4,536$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,995.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee10…2c44backed Yes | 56c | 4,307$2,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,895.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4274…40ddbacked Yes | 59c | 3,853$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb66…ba4dbacked No | 41c | 3,249$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4772…0a60backed Yes | 56c | 2,889$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,271.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…27d8backed Yes | 59c | 2,069$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed1…e515backed Yes | 59c | 2,029$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 44c | 1,615$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.6 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 54c | 870.7$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.52 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 357.84$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.83 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed No | 55c | 80$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 54c | 56.75$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 54c | 56.5$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…a4c4backed Yes | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +8.5wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 46c | 41.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Yes | 54c | 38.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.59 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 49c | 28.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.14 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Yes | 57c | 23.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +80%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 54c | 21.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New England Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- New England Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 1.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 2.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5Over won
- New England Revolution vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.