TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Colorado Rapids SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,790

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over46c2,747$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.1927837.8%105 W · 173 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over45c2,052$931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,120.6747748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under56c1,700$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.224046.7%112 W · 128 L-15.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2aa1…1ea8backed Under48c1,694$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.993644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over48c1,602$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8228…b2fbbacked Under54c1,452$786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7861752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under54c1,375$736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$736.4326345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under53c1,285$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$676.143,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under53c1,000$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$528.9277751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c808.14$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.482044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc95b…f819backed Under55c791.95$437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4373855.3%21 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb8…a6fabacked Over46c658.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.175942.4%25 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over48c625$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3251931.6%6 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick49cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe41f…99febacked Over58c613.29$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over48c599.99$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.832955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over45c566.55$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.613053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under53c558.23$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.8610755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31d8…a9cebacked Over47c544.26$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.98540%34 W · 51 L+9.2wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+41.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0520…3efdbacked Over42c499.65$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.387364.4%47 W · 26 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked Under52c465.73$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.185464.8%35 W · 19 L+7.6wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+27.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under46c427.27$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7378344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2085042%21 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+17.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over46c299.85$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.924837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over38c272.56$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.115431.5%17 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-26.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over47c265$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4591553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over47c264.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.4455750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under54c238.07$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.4872850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over47c237.99$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.1468550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0738…6dc2backed Under52c219.95$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a41…79b5backed Over48c219.95$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.371100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa655…fce1backed Over48c219$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa547…86a7backed Under52c219$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c4b…9d53backed Under52c218$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over72c214.47$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2915676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xa288…d1fdbacked Over48c213.57$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Under44c212.1$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1148344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bbb…a301backed Over48c211.8$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ab…c912backed Over47c209.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfe7…592bbacked Under52c209$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x492c…ef58backed Under52c209$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682e…e4edbacked Over48c208.2$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f1…74acbacked Over48c207.91$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7cb…edf6backed Under53c207$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc27d…eff5backed Under52c206$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Under8c204.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8428721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4ba3…5997backed Over47c203.82$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56aa…ca87backed Over48c203.09$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e74…82b9backed Under53c203$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ec…76ffbacked Under52c202$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x085b…a615backed Under52c202$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59bb…04ffbacked Under53c202$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4bb…8cf7backed Over48c201.43$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x749d…800abacked Over47c198.18$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96fb…0b54backed Under52c196$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over59c195.9$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.4458043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c195.72$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.7742947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb52f…926bbacked Over47c195.61$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9e0…94a7backed Under53c195$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e26…77d1backed Over48c194.39$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24e2…8418backed Over48c192.61$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x78a1…7724backed Under52c191$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.3210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under52c190$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.82634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under54c184$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.449652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over44c180.33$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.4825851.2%132 W · 126 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over46c179.99$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.224351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under54c169.3$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.462927.6%8 W · 21 L-7.0wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-57.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under59c161.68$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.3339234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under52c156.55$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4118655.4%103 W · 83 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under50c153.04$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9113046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under61c153$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.38862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under54c153$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.121,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under54c145.26$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.819245.7%42 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc57f…cfffbacked Over39c124.67$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.351250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over72c102.06$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.588760.9%53 W · 34 L+13.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe29f…b2f0backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over73c93.01$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2816453%87 W · 77 L+20.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+40%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under39c84$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.5328851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under36c84$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8830444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf472…fd6ebacked Over45c67.19$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.197644.7%34 W · 42 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+38.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over30c66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.25133.3%17 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+7.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over45c63.16$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.747949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Under41c61.87$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3436051.9%187 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Under56c59.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5819255.2%106 W · 86 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Under56c59.78$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5822263.1%140 W · 82 L+12.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Under53c57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.218942.7%38 W · 51 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa1c…0144backed Under71c56.58$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ca…e926backed Under43c53.48$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Under54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275133.3%17 W · 34 L-6.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under32c48.83$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5892346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under54c46.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.897037.1%26 W · 44 L-11.4wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-35.8%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256443.8%28 W · 36 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6859…f7c2backed Over39c43.59$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.593943.6%17 W · 22 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a29…16c5backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.488465.5%55 W · 29 L+16.4wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+60.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over47c42.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.794669.6%32 W · 14 L+10.7wins+0.23per pick46cpaid+57.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over38c42.78$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4130957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Under54c41.65$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.494047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe2c…7bdabacked Over46c40.61$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.