TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Colorado Rapids SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$47,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$63,223

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,236 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over68c12,055$8,243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,811.3819044.7%85 W · 105 L+9.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under32c5,674$1,836 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,836.4597146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under31c4,558$1,435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,434.877751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over60c3,529$2,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.575459.3%32 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c3,447$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.943,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x078e…3ebdbacked Over65c1,600$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over67c1,171$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.2347748.2%230 W · 247 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under33c1,171$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.9178344.4%348 W · 435 L-30.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under40c1,155$459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.0187154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under32c900$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28872850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under31c806$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.8613948.9%68 W · 71 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid+4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over67c599.37$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.376662.1%41 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under31c575.17$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.326345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under31c535.48$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16613053.1%69 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under42c535.15$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.3128851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under31c521.4$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.071,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over59c516$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.2216453%87 W · 77 L+20.7wins+0.13per pick40cpaid+40%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under34c510.7$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.059652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Under33c500$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16510848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf2f6…679ebacked Over64c500$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+70.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26be…805fbacked Under40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-56.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Over66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1707668.4%52 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under33c468.84$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8170249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under40c395$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1581662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+97.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Over60c350$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9f…21f7backed Over71c318.42$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.454100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc551…fa51backed Over75c317.85$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.18971.9%64 W · 25 L+17.2wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Over63c300$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.64837.5%18 W · 30 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Under40c249.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.992842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf00e…00f4backed Over66c215.15$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.15366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd3b…cea6backed Over66c200$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.062955.2%16 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under32c198$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.369848%47 W · 51 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over69c194.2$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over68c179.97$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5924351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39dd…7af9backed Under34c174.27$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick46cpaid+8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over67c169$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3958043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0ca…e926backed Under40c150$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-32.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under36c149.99$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.4939234.4%135 W · 257 L-47.2wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-31%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x2a80…f05abacked Over77c137.21$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.22475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under32c133.76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.469245.7%42 W · 50 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Under32c121.25$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.810755.1%59 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under33c117.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7442947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Over75c113.36$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.348760.9%53 W · 34 L+13.7wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+24.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under40c112.5$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$458144.4%36 W · 45 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x36f9…5445backed Under23c109.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256443.8%28 W · 36 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-21.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6001…0457backed Under34c108.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.412927.6%8 W · 21 L-7.0wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-57.9%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x7d84…a7bdbacked Under40c102.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Under33c100$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332638.5%10 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-24%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2413243.9%58 W · 74 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over61c82.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.033767.6%25 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over61c82.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.034862.5%30 W · 18 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked Under40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-41.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f46…1db8backed Under42c72.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Under25c72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.051154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46d2…6805backed Under35c69.97$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.634447.7%21 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2494…17b3backed Under40c64.5$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.84040%16 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204957.1%28 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over56c59.18$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.1810249%50 W · 52 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under34c59$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0613046.2%60 W · 70 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a65…3340backed Over55c58.18$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.18366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2c8…d506backed Under35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9825…9ffcbacked Under35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under33c52.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6582044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206651.5%34 W · 32 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Over67c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.510353.4%55 W · 48 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under42c49.96$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.9825934.4%89 W · 170 L-28.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-31.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over65c47.44$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.7530444.1%134 W · 170 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe727…f6e1backed Under40c45.75$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.31942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over60c45$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick67cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb71…288ebacked Under35c40.49$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.17922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.28per pick51cpaid-68%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x604e…f1cdbacked Over69c39.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.25862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd41…5afebacked Over60c38.34$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.344100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+103.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Under33c37.29$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.311850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd93…56c0backed Over54c36.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4718774.3%139 W · 48 L+33.5wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+39.4%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x1262…2fc9backed Over54c36.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.476563.1%41 W · 24 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+18.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked Over54c36.19$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4715676.9%120 W · 36 L+32.7wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight70+0.18 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over67c35.27$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6431158.5%182 W · 129 L+27.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+23.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5192…df62backed Over57c34.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.87540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-37.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb4…5071backed Over57c34.56$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.864100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x654d…ba8fbacked Under29c34.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.013020%6 W · 24 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under34c34.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.76555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0a6…15efbacked Under40c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1230%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Under42c29.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.598934.8%31 W · 58 L-16.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-39.7%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over69c29.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.124348.8%21 W · 22 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick64cpaid-23.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0636…b869backed Under36c27.78$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab83…f117backed Over57c26.17$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.171100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d08…6e9bbacked Under40c25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4676…b720backed Over73c24.84$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.672972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x996e…fe9fbacked Over68c23.53$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.53475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x69b5…f7ebbacked Over56c20.39$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.971668.8%11 W · 5 L+3.1wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+39%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Over59c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.21560%9 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Over55c18.33$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.2519052.1%99 W · 91 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over67c18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.882152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick64cpaid-15.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over73c18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.830957%176 W · 133 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.