Mls · resolved market
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5ff4a6d97924ecca3ec5fad5f14a8821ebd44e8b132f9d4d00e1e68a675a18c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,524
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,664
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,524 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc418…5e1ebacked Under | 40c | 4,000$1,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,593.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 41c | 1,869$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.1 | 783 | 44.4%348 W · 435 L | -30.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 1,754$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.72 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 59c | 1,671$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.79 | 53 | 26.4%14 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 41c | 1,403$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.33 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Under | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc37…bac6backed Over | 64c | 999.98$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 74c | 717.85$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.95 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 60c | 705.72$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.69 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 17c | 582$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.23 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +20.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +40%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 68c | 462.24$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.81 | 240 | 46.7%112 W · 128 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 74c | 416$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.72 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 26c | 384.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.33 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72d3…cbf2backed Over | 64c | 370.97$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d8…a9cebacked Over | 26c | 350$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.4 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Over | 60c | 331.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.75 | 222 | 63.1%140 W · 82 L | +12.2wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 27c | 325.85$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.87 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 54c | 314.97$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.94 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 26c | 209.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.81 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 66c | 197.8$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.55 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 49c | 190.55$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…c8dcbacked Over | 54c | 167.49$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 61c | 165.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.08 | 248 | 59.3%147 W · 101 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 63c | 159.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.19 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0e…3197backed Over | 57c | 116$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 43c | 109.91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Under | 37c | 102.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.86 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba37…dedcbacked Over | 56c | 101.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 33c | 88$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 89 | 71.9%64 W · 25 L | +17.2wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2a80…f05abacked Over | 64c | 83.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 74c | 73.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.42 | 92 | 45.7%42 W · 50 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 38c | 64.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.57 | 55 | 69.1%38 W · 17 L | +7.0wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Under | 38c | 63.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e8…2352backed Under | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 26c | 57.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.69 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +16.4wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 72c | 55.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 28c | 53.7$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.7 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +10.7wins | +0.23per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa1…a420backed Over | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 35cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 392 | 34.4%135 W · 257 L | -47.2wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Over | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -10.3wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 78c | 50$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Over | 59c | 47.73$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.73 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…f7c2backed Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…ccfdbacked Under | 46c | 43.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7521…c083backed Over | 68c | 42.48$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 53c | 41.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.63 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c4…a7ffbacked Over | 68c | 41.18$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Over | 61c | 40.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 192 | 55.2%106 W · 86 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5258…534ebacked Over | 61c | 39.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 37c | 39.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -11.4wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x654d…ba8fbacked Over | 26c | 38.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.48 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.5wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46d2…6805backed Over | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 51c | 31.7$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 222 | 69.4%154 W · 68 L | +31.4wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 21.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Under | 79c | 13.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5this page
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.