Mls · resolved market
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3935585f0d19d556cc3927bc35d039320d9385bc5766ce603f37c042218c4446
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Colorado Rapids SCof Inter Miami CF, Colorado Rapids SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,897
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,897 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Inter Miami CF | 28c | 1,050$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Inter Miami CF | 28c | 572.11$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.15 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | -6.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Colorado Rapids SC | 72c | 338.35$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.74 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Colorado Rapids SC | 72c | 299$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.72 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 72c | 173$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Colorado Rapids SC | 72c | 173$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Colorado Rapids SC | 72c | 173$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Colorado Rapids SC | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Inter Miami CF | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Inter Miami CF | 26c | 79.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Inter Miami CF | 32c | 64.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ad…71acbacked Colorado Rapids SC | 71c | 52.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.11 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39dd…7af9backed Colorado Rapids SC | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d0…566ebacked Colorado Rapids SC | 59c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-1.5)this page
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Inter Miami CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Colorado Rapids SC vs. Inter Miami CF: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Colorado Rapids SC (-1.5)Inter Miami CF won
- Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)Colorado Rapids SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.