La Liga · resolved market
Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4e20face14bf14f8275f0d6929be021449506d16f5c4e5d8004957fd7bca5c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,244
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,244 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 25c | 1,861$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.52 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 39c | 1,430$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.73 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 26c | 961.54$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 21c | 799.39$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.95 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Under | 76c | 539.47$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.47 | 64 | 78.1%50 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 640 | 46.9%300 W · 340 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40a2…19c9backed Under | 53c | 351.01$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Over | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under | 75c | 264$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 231 | 52.8%122 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 25c | 258.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Over | 46c | 250.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.41 | 208 | 45.2%94 W · 114 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,035 | 47.9%496 W · 539 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 56c | 221.01$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 59cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 7c | 217.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 25c | 174$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.34 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed Under | 75c | 150.44$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.61 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3491…9dd9backed Over | 26c | 139.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21db…2a42backed Over | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 42c | 111.49$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.82 | 188 | 42%79 W · 109 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 46c | 91.24$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.97 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 26c | 78.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd71…6714backed Under | 76c | 78.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 74c | 67.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 321 | 45.8%147 W · 174 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 26c | 67.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 21c | 67.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb903…9942backed Under | 76c | 66.09$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 25c | 60.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.25 | 1,559 | 51.6%804 W · 755 L | -9.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Over | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Under | 55c | 45.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | -7.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 76c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa658…f93ebacked Under | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -4.1wins | -0.25per pick | 69cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 73c | 24.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.64 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Under | 75c | 19.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.