La Liga · resolved market
Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e81edfd70a5aa90ed2e0ac0a5f02a33d4be523297dec019fb3b22b9074d3cd7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,538 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 16c | 2,095$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.06 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1017…714fbacked Over | 12c | 1,560$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Over | 21c | 1,333$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.93 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 21c | 1,250$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff9…009dbacked Under | 77c | 1,106$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.46 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b7…8c64backed Over | 12c | 1,017$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…257ebacked Under | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca5e…8457backed Over | 12c | 410$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 10c | 392.96$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 1,651 | 43.9%724 W · 927 L | -21.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Over | 5c | 249.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed Under | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x741c…bf80backed Over | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…c2e5backed Under | 76c | 70.71$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 247 | 57.5%142 W · 105 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94c…4484backed Under | 79c | 40.95$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 78c | 27.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c84…e193backed Under | 77c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Girona FC vs. Athletic Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Athletic Club (-2.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Girona FC (-1.5)Girona FC won
- Spread: Girona FC (-2.5)Girona FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.