Other European Leagues · resolved market
Alanyaspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeeb90eacd3d4b6d8b1456d1b27f57791a6950c01d50949453ce3be7f18b6585e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd70…ccdbbacked Under | 48c | 8,900$4,272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,271.77 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 48c | 7,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,359.99 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 52c | 3,364$1,749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,614.72 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 52c | 3,093$1,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.62 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 53c | 2,757$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.25 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 52c | 2,720$1,414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.6 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Over | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 797$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.56 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 246.79$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.94 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 156.48$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.78 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 52c | 149.98$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Over | 52c | 146.94$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 53c | 106.39$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3a…265ebacked Over | 77c | 60.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df7…29c5backed Over | 70c | 57$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Over | 52c | 56.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 36c | 52.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 63c | 46.09$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 51c | 45.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 49c | 45.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.39 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Over | 52c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 191 | 46.6%89 W · 102 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x007f…fb6cbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 52c | 35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 52c | 27.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.31 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 52c | 26.57$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.76 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa507…4e3abacked Over | 45c | 24.44$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 39cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 67c | 17.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alanyaspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 2.5this page
- Alanyaspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Alanyaspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Alanyaspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Alanyaspor vs. Rams Başakşehir FK: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Alanyaspor (-1.5)Rams Başakşehir FK won
- Spread: Rams Başakşehir FK (-2.5)Alanyaspor won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.