Asian League · resolved market
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae119fac2720cebe59ce46b0cb445e49ceab82c7656eb8bf961251255b93b917
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,835
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0126…4047backed Under | 48c | 2,732$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…dc6bbacked Over | 50c | 2,049$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.71 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 49cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 1,298$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.62 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 47c | 1,103$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 585.45$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.91 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 21c | 544$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.63 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Under | 44c | 429.82$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.12 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 69c | 402.81$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.81 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 306.47$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.53 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.16per pick | 9cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 10c | 299.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 10c | 255.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.51 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 48c | 239.31$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed Over | 55c | 220$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…d73fbacked Over | 69c | 122$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.7 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 41c | 114.63$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.15 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 49c | 112.2$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 267 | 49.4%132 W · 135 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 55c | 61.25$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 70c | 57.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed Over | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf55…92a2backed Over | 47c | 42.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.93 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 51c | 41.41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 51c | 36.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -6.6wins | -0.55per pick | 64cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -14.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 59c | 34.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 173 | 40.5%70 W · 103 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 41c | 34.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.15 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 55c | 33.36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb838…cf88backed Under | 33c | 31.62$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Over | 57c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.07 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2d…2d55backed Over | 53c | 23.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 62c | 23.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ec…27c4backed Over | 57c | 19.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5this page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.