Asian League · resolved market
Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a805c2ce8cedcada63f06b17743005677faad9aa0fde6cde9aa9dc6907d5379
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,393
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 717.83$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc8…6875backed Under | 42c | 483.33$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Over | 78c | 385.09$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.09 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 78c | 350$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 65 | 67.7%44 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 274.75$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.76 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 25c | 267.72$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 64c | 250$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 36c | 231.04$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.02 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 194.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 68c | 175.36$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.6 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…e1b2backed Over | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 79c | 136.08$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.58 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -5.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2969…6d76backed Under | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc65a…2e83backed Under | 25c | 121.03$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +8.6wins | +0.12per pick | 33cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 297 | 45.1%134 W · 163 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa75…d73fbacked Over | 74c | 86.49$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.49 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 126 | 59.5%75 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed Under | 22c | 73.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 78c | 66$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.52 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 77c | 65.84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 34c | 65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 66c | 65$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +5.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +49.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 67c | 59.87$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 83 | 63.9%53 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b7…9802backed Under | 32c | 46.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 80c | 31.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c14…c007backed Over | 79c | 25.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Over | 68c | 18.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d42…4f02backed Over | 78c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Ittihad Saudi Club vs. Al Fayha Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.