South American Leagues · resolved market
Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf25dc256bba2793e809092e5fc81caac0920e58fd876ae0cf36a298e188ddf0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,777
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Over | 47c | 55,065$25,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,199.53 | 294 | 46.6%137 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 12,054$6,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,382.03 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43a4…7170backed Under | 53c | 7,334$3,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,887.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 53c | 6,213$3,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.49 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 3,240$1,695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.79 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Over | 48c | 3,229$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,679.25 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -30%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 53c | 3,172$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.14 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,559.96 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 53c | 2,727$1,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.23 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 53c | 1,994$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.1 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…dababacked Under | 53c | 1,834$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$971.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Over | 48c | 1,598$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.92 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad9…d5b0backed Under | 53c | 1,498$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Under | 53c | 1,458$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.58 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 53c | 1,230$652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.73 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 53c | 1,069$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.23 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Under | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +6.2wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +39%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 49c | 989.18$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.48 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Under | 53c | 922.13$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.73 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 53c | 916.3$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.64 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 54c | 907.23$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.07 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e1f…8072backed Under | 53c | 729.77$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Over | 48c | 689$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 53c | 644.04$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.5 | 162 | 55.6%90 W · 72 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 52c | 599.99$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 53c | 481.04$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.95 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Under | 53c | 458.23$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.86 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Under | 53c | 458.23$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.86 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 53c | 458.23$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.86 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 52c | 438.81$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.3 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Under | 53c | 375.46$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 52c | 374.82$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.72 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 53c | 371.87$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.18 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd810…2eb8backed Under | 53c | 364.78$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.33 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 53c | 309.11$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.83 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a15…52d6backed Under | 53c | 277.33$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.98 | 105 | 64.8%68 W · 37 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 54c | 275.83$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.77 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 262.91$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.39 | 1,651 | 50.6%836 W · 815 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 53c | 256.7$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 53c | 247.07$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.92 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Under | 60c | 246.4$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.84 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc74b…9089backed Under | 52c | 242.8$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Under | 53c | 238.37$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd45…f2aabacked Under | 53c | 232.9$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Under | 53c | 220.03$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.62 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 53c | 210.86$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4192…d6aabacked Under | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa46d…d8e5backed Under | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 53c | 192.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 188 | 59%111 W · 77 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 53c | 192.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 199 | 55.8%111 W · 88 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…f31bbacked Under | 53c | 192.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 53c | 192.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.97 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 53c | 175.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.22 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 53c | 172.8$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.58 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…2e3abacked Under | 53c | 164.07$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.96 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 52c | 143.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4693…bf61backed Under | 53c | 113.32$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 52c | 112.06$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.27 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Under | 53c | 108.84$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 53c | 97.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 53c | 97.51$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 48c | 96.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f02…12f5backed Under | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 160 | 41.3%66 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09c0…9740backed Under | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 26c | 86.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.72 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 56c | 75.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e73…3f4ebacked Under | 53c | 73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 192 | 64.1%123 W · 69 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Over | 49c | 70.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 24c | 63.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 53c | 63.15$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Under | 53c | 62.87$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.49 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 39c | 62.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Under | 53c | 60.4$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.05 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 66c | 58.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 217 | 52.1%113 W · 104 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…a6ddbacked Under | 53c | 57.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 52c | 56.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 52c | 56.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 52c | 56.33$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 52c | 54.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 114 | 48.2%55 W · 59 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Over | 74c | 54.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.08 | 292 | 45.2%132 W · 160 L | -24.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 34c | 53.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 329 | 36.5%120 W · 209 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Under | 53c | 52.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Under | 53c | 51.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 37c | 49.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Under | 53c | 49.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.41 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Over | 65c | 49.28$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.41 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…0b17backed Under | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 57c | 45.75$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae02…7ed0backed Under | 53c | 42.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fb…e007backed Over | 48c | 39.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 39.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebf…2da0backed Under | 53c | 38.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.41 | 112 | 62.5%70 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef5c…6ababacked Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 62 | 74.2%46 W · 16 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…33f4backed Under | 53c | 36.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 52c | 36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 213 | 59.6%127 W · 86 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…d2c8backed Under | 53c | 30.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Under | 53c | 29.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 89 | 61.8%55 W · 34 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 2.5this page
- Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Vitória: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 1.5Over won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 3.5Under won
- Cruzeiro EC vs. EC Vitória: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)Cruzeiro EC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.