F1 · resolved market
Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65ee2ec785579b8b19d7366a2fa7e4700a6d25e4f6c3ec0791c6763dad40e821
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,641
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,607
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,641 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes | 10c | 785$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.62 | 247 | 20.6%51 W · 196 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…40adbacked No | 23c | 411.88$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +335.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a6…cb72backed Yes | 50c | 253.69$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…7ad6backed No | 50c | 250$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 100 | 65%65 W · 35 L | +20.3wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +66.6%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x8de2…8483backed Yes | 67c | 224.85$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.33 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…cc6cbacked Yes | 71c | 209$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.87 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Yes | 65c | 86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…7133backed Yes | 32c | 76.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30b2…d35bbacked Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 32c | 40.51$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 29c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…51a0backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 28c | 38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.36 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 29c | 37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5edc…bbadbacked No | 70c | 36.89$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 65c | 25.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 56c | 23.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.19 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0704…4083backed Yes | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4760…33f4backed No | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7dc…6efebacked Yes | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ferrari have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?this page
- Will Mclaren Mastercard have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
- Will Mercedes have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Red Bull have the highest constructor score at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.