TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Mavericks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Suns, Mavericks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$132,299
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$145,742

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $132,299 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2ff0…46e3backed Mavericks56c21,671$12,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,176.6647656.5%269 W · 207 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Suns78c11,427$8,873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,553.7170147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd398…c487backed Mavericks59c8,888$5,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,224.141250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0f3…d82cbacked Mavericks57c7,500$4,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,27515551%79 W · 76 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ec…3665backed Suns63c6,964$4,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,585.84060%24 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-6.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc36…1fa0backed Mavericks68c6,069$4,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,126.685950.8%30 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccb…0a10backed Suns61c5,027$3,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.356744.8%30 W · 37 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Suns43c4,645$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,647.827546.2%127 W · 148 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dcd…165cbacked Mavericks53c4,395$2,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,337.1837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Mavericks24c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96053134.7%184 W · 347 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b9…cf5ebacked Mavericks39c3,500$1,365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,365230%0 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Suns41c2,977$1,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.8865642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc69d…1262backed Mavericks56c2,524$1,423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.033426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.8wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x576b…7336backed Suns39c2,238$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,374.0518316.9%31 W · 152 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Suns58c2,199$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$924.0226934.9%94 W · 175 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x23b1…8e10backed Suns46c2,174$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173.918937.1%33 W · 56 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-34.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed Suns40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2006141%25 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9273…fcf8backed Suns43c1,736$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$988.812951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Suns43c1,628$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.911,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Mavericks49c1,486$728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$728.4427041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Suns35c1,326$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$866.3136748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed Mavericks58c1,302$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75527939.8%111 W · 168 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4b2…3845backed Suns24c1,242$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$943.99757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+28.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xccf2…41b7backed Suns42c1,177$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$682.8711459.6%68 W · 46 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7feb…6be7backed Suns46c1,036$476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$560.021662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Mavericks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1015911.9%19 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Suns42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5801,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ba2…18a5backed Suns42c1,000$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5809130.8%28 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1713…7511backed Mavericks1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1030%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Suns29c987.73$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$704.0811332.7%37 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Suns31c979.32$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.351,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Suns43c968.16$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.4719642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1dbd…af92backed Mavericks55c900.67$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.378436.9%31 W · 53 L-10.5wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-33.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Suns40c838.27$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.9646131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6a…a421backed Mavericks45c689.99$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.871428.6%4 W · 10 L-3.3wins-0.23per pick52cpaid-53.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Suns42c601$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.581,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7106…fb79backed Suns47c586$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.66955.1%38 W · 31 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85f5…0009backed Suns45c566.8$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.743056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2805…76edbacked Mavericks63c549.99$346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346.498439.3%33 W · 51 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa17…b1ecbacked Mavericks56c540$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.41338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x737e…8e9bbacked Suns42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2903946.2%18 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb033…bedbbacked Suns61c470$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.510058%58 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed Mavericks44c441.55$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.1314233.1%47 W · 95 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x61fb…e089backed Suns55c435.15$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.152240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x79ee…ae97backed Mavericks47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Suns43c418.07$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.337954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Suns55c400$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.519137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x801e…8d2ebacked Suns78c400$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Suns44c396.71$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.161,09035.8%390 W · 700 L+40.1wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Mavericks4c384$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.971,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c69…b1debacked Suns45c383.87$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.31566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.8wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+55.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d86…537abacked Mavericks55c352.22$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.721844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf612…5700backed Suns42c333$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.1420245.5%92 W · 110 L+0.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb0…0834backed Mavericks55c332.99$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.79955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22f9…ccb1backed Suns33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.032254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c7c…3228backed Suns33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.03837.5%3 W · 5 L0.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Suns55c300$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1353658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7722…ee4bbacked Mavericks58c299.98$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.992334.8%8 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid+27.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Mavericks57c292.45$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.74654.3%25 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+42.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Mavericks53c282.79$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.1470951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0d…077dbacked Suns37c272.89$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.92850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Mavericks49c270$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.436057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Suns42c249.98$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.491,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4329…b63bbacked Mavericks53c233.36$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.85785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick64cpaid+31.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5be…8728backed Suns45c220.47$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.472236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa535…6bf5backed Suns46c217.39$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.399557.9%55 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4af9…9bbdbacked Suns28c213.33$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.62119%4 W · 17 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccf3…8f27backed Suns33c210$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14040726%106 W · 301 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x007c…82fdbacked Mavericks57c209.6$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.771668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9bdd…bbb8backed Suns60c202.73$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.265750.9%29 W · 28 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Suns41c200.08$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.058547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9eea…281dbacked Mavericks31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6226547.9%127 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6434…cdbebacked Suns46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1083732.4%12 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e7…24c2backed Suns45c200$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.562619.2%5 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-52.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x33cc…a0b6backed Mavericks40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8018437.5%69 W · 115 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6156…57acbacked Mavericks58c196.75$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.5910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdec9…2af9backed Suns28c188.7$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.861729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick35cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c4b…f1e6backed Suns64c185.23$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.685856.9%33 W · 25 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc167…4056backed Suns70c182.39$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.728943.8%39 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab38…e1e2backed Mavericks55c181$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c5…0544backed Mavericks57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002540%10 W · 15 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc745…9499backed Mavericks60c170$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10216440.9%67 W · 97 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f8c…6b56backed Suns56c168.47$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.78333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Suns54c168.18$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.1836449.7%181 W · 183 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Suns46c159.04$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.131,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda62…a9a6backed Mavericks64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.06560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x432d…a2d4backed Suns70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+15.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b3a…16fbbacked Mavericks55c149.98$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4917846.1%82 W · 96 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd10…0d30backed Suns48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.831540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-37.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae5…3113backed Suns70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8623359.7%139 W · 94 L+0.8wins0.00per pick59cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fc3…3ef9backed Mavericks59c141.61$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Mavericks70c140$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.4785347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x345e…3083backed Suns74c139.65$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.65666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb48d…9f73backed Mavericks55c136.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e1b…7ccabacked Suns23c130.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.4315149%74 W · 77 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Mavericks48c129.39$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.761532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3010…00c2backed Mavericks43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503237.5%12 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9572…b5a0backed Suns69c114.91$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.125747.4%27 W · 30 L-7.6wins-0.13per pick61cpaid-22.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa23f…6176backed Suns44c113.3$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.456550.8%33 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a66…9669backed Mavericks59c110.93$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.