MLB · resolved market
Reds vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x23768e582ee50fad00273dffbea83bdf93bd0bb977dc1680defed469175f622a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof Reds, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $113,863
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $113,729
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $113,863 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 109 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Guardians | 47c | 27,716$13,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,689.45 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Reds | 53c | 23,273$12,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,334.75 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Guardians | 52c | 7,576$3,929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,646.52 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Reds | 51c | 7,483$3,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,816.29 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Guardians | 48c | 7,317$3,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,805.03 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Reds | 12c | 5,688$709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709 | 171 | 36.8%63 W · 108 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Reds | 51c | 4,216$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.12 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Guardians | 76c | 3,986$3,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.66 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Reds | 44c | 3,608$1,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,586.25 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Reds | 15c | 3,223$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.76 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ba…92f7backed Reds | 36c | 2,801$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…1b66backed Reds | 8c | 2,452$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Reds | 51c | 2,376$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.71 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 58c | 2,053$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.71 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Reds | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Reds | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Reds | 48c | 1,789$859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858.67 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Guardians | 48c | 1,745$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.27 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x766c…2377backed Guardians | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Reds | 1c | 1,557$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Reds | 1c | 1,505$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.6 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Reds | 1c | 1,313$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Reds | 42c | 1,190$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Reds | 10c | 1,100$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…1df7backed Reds | 49c | 1,022$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.78 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Guardians | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Reds | 48c | 996.67$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.4 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…fa6dbacked Reds | 51c | 835.99$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.17 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Guardians | 48c | 620.73$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.74 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27be…e3a9backed Guardians | 47c | 588.56$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.94 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9273…fcf8backed Guardians | 51c | 587.43$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.84 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Guardians | 51c | 584.52$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.52 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Reds | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…8470backed Reds | 38c | 531.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 205 | 23.4%48 W · 157 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Reds | 33c | 506.06$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Guardians | 49c | 499.87$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.93 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Guardians | 46c | 468.1$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.77 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc028…9349backed Reds | 25c | 412.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.17 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Reds | 49c | 399.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Guardians | 49c | 363.2$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.23 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2920…80bebacked Reds | 52c | 309.2$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 238 | 52.9%126 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Reds | 49c | 300.12$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.46 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Guardians | 66c | 284.28$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.06 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Guardians | 52c | 259.12$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.12 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf59b…6ea1backed Reds | 4c | 247.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Reds | 50c | 217.84$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.92 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Reds | 51c | 207$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.57 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Reds | 52c | 199.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.99 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Reds | 48c | 198.75$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.4 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a7c…920ebacked Reds | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 190 | 53.2%101 W · 89 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Reds | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Reds | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Reds | 52c | 182$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.28 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dbd…ed66backed Guardians | 47c | 180$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Reds | 51c | 164.05$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.23 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Guardians | 47c | 159.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x734e…0d0dbacked Guardians | 48c | 156.17$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Reds | 32c | 153.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Guardians | 48c | 138.31$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.92 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Reds | 51c | 117$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.64 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe0…6e30backed Reds | 32c | 98.42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.49 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Reds | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Reds | 53c | 94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 51c | 85$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaf…4677backed Reds | 12c | 83.16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Reds | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77d…7d90backed Reds | 16c | 79.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb130…6ee2backed Reds | 51c | 73$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb34f…e29ebacked Reds | 23c | 69.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Reds | 55c | 69.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a8…59e3backed Reds | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe744…0200backed Reds | 18c | 68.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f18…5f33backed Reds | 15c | 68.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Guardians | 60c | 66.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Guardians | 68c | 58$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Guardians | 44c | 55.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7776…0c91backed Reds | 21c | 51.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Guardians | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…0528backed Reds | 25c | 49.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Reds | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e8…0225backed Reds | 28c | 47.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Reds | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa09…bc3fbacked Reds | 40c | 44.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9f…822abacked Reds | 30c | 43.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ab…cdcbbacked Reds | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 128 | 62.5%80 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Reds | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dbc…e479backed Reds | 33c | 39.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Guardians | 49c | 39.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Guardians | 49c | 38.51$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f7…ac2cbacked Guardians | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6726…542fbacked Reds | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Reds | 53c | 38.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x841e…b892backed Reds | 30c | 37.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd6…690fbacked Reds | 31c | 33.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Reds | 40c | 30.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 172 | 39.5%68 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33b3…9f56backed Guardians | 47c | 29.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Guardians | 47c | 29.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…2193backed Reds | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Reds | 50c | 27.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.62 | 235 | 45.5%107 W · 128 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…c677backed Reds | 45c | 27.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.