Lol · resolved market
LoL: Galions vs French Flair (BO1) - LFL Invitational Super Group
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a04b32700006069ff02095b3959be7592d38e38904badcf5fb923889f46280f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Galionsof Galions, French Flair
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc840…16d6backed French Flair | 3c | 6,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 42 | 2.4%1 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -92.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked French Flair | 10c | 6,459$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.41 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c7…264fbacked French Flair | 4c | 2,143$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.2 | 280 | 40%112 W · 168 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed Galions | 76c | 1,814$1,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.59 | 146 | 44.5%65 W · 81 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked French Flair | 54c | 1,300$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.3 | 2,012 | 58.1%1,168 W · 844 L | +84.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Galions | 46c | 1,270$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680.1 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed French Flair | 23c | 1,162$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.14 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked French Flair | 7c | 1,089$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.37 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e90…a81dbacked French Flair | 2c | 1,048$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Galions | 44c | 1,002$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.99 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed French Flair | 54c | 940$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.6 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Galions | 50c | 699.2$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.7 | 960 | 57.4%551 W · 409 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed French Flair | 39c | 636.59$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed French Flair | 49c | 600$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.22 | 421 | 48.2%203 W · 218 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…0558backed Galions | 45c | 442.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.83 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…cbaabacked French Flair | 56c | 440.03$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 92 | 38%35 W · 57 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed French Flair | 21c | 440$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.58 | 962 | 54.3%522 W · 440 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked French Flair | 55c | 435.26$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.24 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Galions | 53c | 400$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 664 | 45.6%303 W · 361 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d98…7e3fbacked Galions | 55c | 339.99$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.2 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked French Flair | 8c | 320.59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed French Flair | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,131 | 30.1%340 W · 791 L | -26.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b3…b220backed Galions | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 360 | 50.6%182 W · 178 L | +12.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf06…c9ffbacked French Flair | 39c | 300$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 635 | 51.8%329 W · 306 L | +39.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed French Flair | 44c | 257.1$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.82 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Galions | 70c | 218.24$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.86 | 540 | 54.3%293 W · 247 L | +26.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked French Flair | 41c | 217.37$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.55 | 2,836 | 41.4%1,175 W · 1,661 L | -12.9wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed French Flair | 56c | 174.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 427 | 35.4%151 W · 276 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed French Flair | 54c | 161.99$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.09 | 263 | 54%142 W · 121 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…cd7bbacked French Flair | 22c | 147.78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Galions | 78c | 147.78$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.8 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x180f…3cabbacked French Flair | 56c | 130.36$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Galions | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 2,240 | 37.3%836 W · 1,404 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb87…4611backed Galions | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 272 | 56.6%154 W · 118 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bb…0fd6backed Galions | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked French Flair | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed French Flair | 41c | 79.76$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.62 | 1,599 | 46.8%748 W · 851 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Galions | 45c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.35 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87df…48f3backed French Flair | 28c | 65.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 54 | 66.7%36 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked French Flair | 58c | 52.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 142 | 66.9%95 W · 47 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Galions | 48c | 49.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.57 | 549 | 44.4%244 W · 305 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…9b3bbacked Galions | 47c | 38.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked French Flair | 55c | 37.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x713f…22ccbacked Galions | 46c | 36.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.96 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…36dfbacked French Flair | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 586 | 49.8%292 W · 294 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Galions | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 1,223 | 58.1%710 W · 513 L | +43.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…3809backed French Flair | 44c | 27.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ef…1441backed Galions | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +126%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ed…24b1backed Galions | 48c | 22.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c9…476dbacked Galions | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 242 | 71.9%174 W · 68 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Galions | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed Galions | 72c | 14.44$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 618 | 49.8%308 W · 310 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.