NFL · resolved market
Will another player be the top Fantasy Tight End?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30bb4ebcf8732c6f1fb626274d815eca9f99380beedea216f42a86f3673cb29f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Yes | 26c | 1,016$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.48 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc270…3768backed No | 50c | 910$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08de…ccd2backed Yes | 50c | 910$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x542c…f12bbacked Yes | 70c | 768.88$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.93 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 18c | 750.72$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.98 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…15e1backed No | 5c | 668.33$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 21cpaid | +626.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Yes | 10c | 500$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.3 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 19c | 343.72$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.63 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe6b…f255backed Yes | 11c | 268.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.89 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.30per pick | 32cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd848…626fbacked Yes | 54c | 263.1$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…5d57backed Yes | 59c | 253.8$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcefa…bef8backed Yes | 43c | 211.92$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.44 | 162 | 59.9%97 W · 65 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 310 | 32.6%101 W · 209 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb916…8c8bbacked Yes | 19c | 199.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +401.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe438…9471backed Yes | 45c | 180.92$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.37 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.67 | 134 | 28.4%38 W · 96 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0543…8a28backed Yes | 58c | 146.31$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac9d…c116backed Yes | 8c | 146.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…9f9fbacked No | 40c | 138.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a5e…cb8ebacked Yes | 58c | 136.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…9a57backed Yes | 62c | 133.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd1…bc73backed No | 42c | 117.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed No | 13c | 116.82$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 42 | 26.2%11 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31fc…4e30backed Yes | 13c | 112$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +1,001.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…efe5backed No | 21c | 106.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…502ebacked Yes | 24c | 106.67$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe959…75cbbacked No | 59c | 101.52$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8669…f77ebacked Yes | 12c | 100.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.33 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x578c…e85fbacked No | 71c | 100.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 65c | 97.31$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.11 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 27c | 84.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.02 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52e1…7c36backed No | 20c | 80.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 28c | 66.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +87.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Yes | 51c | 65.44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.01 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…ff5fbacked Yes | 65c | 65.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…2060backed Yes | 68c | 55.12$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 40c | 54.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2853…82d8backed Yes | 57c | 51.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 50c | 49.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 268 | 30.6%82 W · 186 L | -29.2wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3978…2f24backed Yes | 45c | 47.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf3…981abacked Yes | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ad…558bbacked No | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3747…bd4bbacked Yes | 27c | 44.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.68 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf58…0c47backed No | 24c | 44.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa118…a981backed Yes | 51c | 42.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.81 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…9ba4backed Yes | 65c | 41.39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f6…5fa1backed Yes | 61c | 41.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3695…66f0backed Yes | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -62.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 30c | 39.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 77 | 18.2%14 W · 63 L | -11.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3c64…63d5backed No | 77c | 38.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f7…0d6fbacked No | 58c | 37.26$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.3wins | -0.30per pick | 49cpaid | -75%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x342a…13cdbacked Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524b…0239backed No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c63…6730backed No | 34c | 34.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf48…f8d0backed Yes | 62c | 32.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d5…b239backed Yes | 80c | 29.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…063cbacked Yes | 70c | 28.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba9…afcebacked No | 78c | 28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35d…c9cdbacked Yes | 76c | 27.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c73…1ba6backed Yes | 78c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x761b…e8f7backed Yes | 78c | 24.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…bb92backed No | 49c | 24.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbf…e383backed No | 49c | 24.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ccc…78dcbacked No | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d1…1f48backed Yes | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd73…545dbacked No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250a…6d1dbacked No | 78c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…afacbacked Yes | 68c | 19.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd262…10fabacked Yes | 77c | 18.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1135…964fbacked Yes | 77c | 17.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…c873backed Yes | 68c | 17.15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb2…6b97backed Yes | 76c | 16.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…75a3backed Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…64f2backed Yes | 70c | 14.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will another player be the top Fantasy Tight End?this page
- Will Dalton Kincaid be the top Fantasy Tight End?No won
- Will Evan Engram be the top Fantasy Tight End?No won
- Will George Kittle be the top Fantasy Tight End?No won
- Will Kyle Pitts be the top Fantasy Tight End?No won
- Will Mark Andrews be the top Fantasy Tight End?No won
- Will Sam LaPorta be the top Fantasy Tight End?No won
- Will Travis Kelce be the top Fantasy Tight End?No won
- Will Trey McBride be the top Fantasy Tight End?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.