NFL · resolved market
Will Travis Kelce be the top Fantasy Tight End?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd846bd0f66e44e4b2f7e343d1690f5d7b8f868ac5a1977c0629df5eb72b2628b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,454
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,592
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,454 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b1b…f209backed Yes | 19c | 1,597$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…580fbacked Yes | 15c | 1,210$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.6 | 104 | 34.6%36 W · 68 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 1,055$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 243 | 0.8%2 W · 241 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 874.28$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.71 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8398…047fbacked Yes | 11c | 669.23$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.92 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes | 11c | 611.69$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 101 | 25.7%26 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 10c | 348.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 13c | 327.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.39 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 16c | 276.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.22 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6115…2a89backed Yes | 11c | 215.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…8839backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1254…5738backed Yes | 18c | 134$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.83 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 9c | 122.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9d…39b7backed Yes | 16c | 121$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 102 | 46.1%47 W · 55 L | +8.8wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x021b…3c73backed Yes | 18c | 61.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Travis Kelce be the top Fantasy Tight End?this page
- Will Dalton Kincaid be the top Fantasy Tight End?No won
- Will Evan Engram be the top Fantasy Tight End?No won
- Will George Kittle be the top Fantasy Tight End?No won
- Will Kyle Pitts be the top Fantasy Tight End?No won
- Will Mark Andrews be the top Fantasy Tight End?No won
- Will Sam LaPorta be the top Fantasy Tight End?No won
- Will Trey McBride be the top Fantasy Tight End?No won
- Will another player be the top Fantasy Tight End?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.