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NFL · resolved market

Will George Kittle be the top Fantasy Tight End?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,689
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,271

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,689 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcefa…bef8backed Yes24c1,240$296 inLost-$296.3316259.9%97 W · 65 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea3e…b956backed Yes23c750$173 inLost-$172.524351.4%125 W · 118 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbae4…c085backed Yes3c724.63$22 inLost-$2213428.4%38 W · 96 L+0.4wins0.00per pick28cpaid-23.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f99…9b59backed Yes31c562.97$175 inLost-$174.7630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0501…7f87backed Yes13c500$64 inLost-$63.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-48.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f86…54d6backed Yes17c491.08$81 inLost-$81.03742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes9c446.64$42 inLost-$42.4152828.6%151 W · 377 L+1.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Yes12c348.26$41 inLost-$40.5834349.3%169 W · 174 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32f4…c885backed Yes16c279.6$45 inLost-$4531032.6%101 W · 209 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd848…626fbacked Yes22c263.1$59 inLost-$58.691040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes19c214.01$41 inLost-$41.331540%126 W · 189 L-15.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdcb1…d3e3backed Yes20c200.12$40 inLost-$4010125.7%26 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf936…f310backed Yes20c198.39$40 inLost-$39.686755.2%37 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2370…0e10backed Yes10c182$18 inLost-$18.241809.4%17 W · 163 L-10.7wins-0.06per pick15cpaid-59.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21d0…ce91backed Yes8c141$12 inLost-$11.613217.4%23 W · 109 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick15cpaid+104.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd78…3a79backed Yes47c128.25$60 inLost-$60425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-50.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2741…0865backed Yes19c125.77$24 inLost-$24.137718.2%14 W · 63 L-11.0wins-0.14per pick33cpaid-43.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes23c122.43$28 inLost-$28.083839.5%15 W · 23 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick30cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes23c111.83$25 inLost-$25.3141540.2%167 W · 248 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb236…1d5dbacked Yes22c100$22 inLost-$21.51625%4 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+81.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4adc…7639backed Yes13c96$12 inLost-$122737%10 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3978…2f24backed Yes32c95.01$30 inLost-$30.117546.7%35 W · 40 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb293…cb90backed Yes15c76.49$11 inLost-$11.236913%9 W · 60 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes23c70$16 inLost-$15.7514850%74 W · 74 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e5…316dbacked Yes17c62.92$11 inLost-$113520%7 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cfc…2111backed Yes26c60.91$16 inLost-$15.8726830.6%82 W · 186 L-29.2wins-0.11per pick41cpaid-43.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x42a2…9bbabacked Yes22c50$11 inLost-$10.981921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.9wins-0.21per pick42cpaid-66.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Yes56c26$15 inLost-$14.592744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-30.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdef…e696backed No79c20$16 inWon+$4.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69a4…bba9backed No70c15$11 inWon+$4.491145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-34.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.