Champions League · resolved market
Will Sparta Praha beat RB Salzburg?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x819f39664b08f1ff1cc77e19131bb9a62c2605207fb7bbf49a21e8dd7018c76f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,116
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 57c | 70,000$40,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,100 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Yes | 43c | 23,876$10,328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,547.93 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.30per pick | 44cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3f84backed Yes | 43c | 16,408$7,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,352.35 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a12…01cebacked Yes | 43c | 15,000$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,550 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 42c | 12,000$5,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,940 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b7…9a3cbacked No | 17c | 968.4$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2807…97febacked No | 51c | 587.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…d3c6backed No | 58c | 229.69$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.22 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Yes | 75c | 152.94$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa649…cce2backed Yes | 76c | 130.61$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…e521backed Yes | 43c | 130.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.23 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 63cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…d834backed Yes | 42c | 90$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…75babacked No | 61c | 56.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 42c | 34.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.97 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed No | 61c | 32.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4106…349abacked Yes | 42c | 30.95$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…01fbbacked No | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sparta Praha beat RB Salzburg?this page
- Will RB Salzburg beat Sparta Praha?No won
- Will Sparta Praha vs. RB Salzburg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.