Champions League · resolved market
Will RB Salzburg beat Sparta Praha?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7c3cb8933fddee6c2f63e0e426f55fb1af3f12b056b818ed7e610c78b30b2d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,724
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 66c | 1,078$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.35 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479c…bcbcbacked No | 69c | 490.13$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.97 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 34c | 398.01$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.32 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 31c | 287$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.97 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae7c…6d3bbacked Yes | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…63e5backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x509f…8fb7backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…7235backed Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 291 | 38.1%111 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…fd0dbacked Yes | 15c | 90$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 65c | 62.87$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 154 | 42.9%66 W · 88 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6c…2cb9backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf54…676abacked Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd629…0393backed Yes | 34c | 32.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f9…88e7backed Yes | 35c | 31.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RB Salzburg beat Sparta Praha?this page
- Will Sparta Praha beat RB Salzburg?Yes won
- Will Sparta Praha vs. RB Salzburg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.