Premier League · resolved market
Will Bayer Leverkusen go undefeated?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85870dfe636badd7fe382631f4f3ecebd7f5d6be60b0fd557493bbe16abfc879
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,085
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,085 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fce…6a98backed Yes | 42c | 3,246$1,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,354 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed No | 47c | 2,590$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,363.77 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 47c | 2,457$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.66 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed No | 49c | 2,100$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 57c | 1,887$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.8 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6356…1885backed Yes | 64c | 1,866$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c88…c405backed Yes | 58c | 1,616$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$937.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 57c | 1,018$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.03 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 59c | 887.74$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.91 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed No | 36c | 886.85$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.58 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…9f6fbacked Yes | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed No | 58c | 800$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Yes | 47c | 611.18$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.53 | 153 | 28.8%44 W · 109 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8a92backed Yes | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 60c | 422.26$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.28 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…7470backed Yes | 57c | 410.83$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf038…1391backed Yes | 57c | 393.47$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…6addbacked Yes | 55c | 225.45$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x345b…9f2ebacked No | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ab…ca37backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…8cfbbacked Yes | 64c | 174.62$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…b172backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8219…f1fabacked Yes | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 52c | 122.5$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.4 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb7…864fbacked Yes | 57c | 115.35$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc3…d1c4backed No | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…5b14backed Yes | 64c | 112.5$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…bad4backed Yes | 64c | 101.17$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 64c | 93.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Yes | 59c | 93.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.79 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x871c…7f0abacked Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…507ebacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f92…a66ebacked No | 40c | 70.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +171.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeac6…d0b8backed Yes | 51c | 58.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 35cpaid | +129.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…502ebacked No | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39a2…a50dbacked Yes | 44c | 49.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…c50bbacked No | 58c | 45.43$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.08 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +146.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa117…1aa9backed Yes | 63c | 38.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe033…472dbacked Yes | 43c | 36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf7…e7dabacked Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cb…619bbacked Yes | 56c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d78…14c8backed Yes | 59c | 34.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 136 | 52.2%71 W · 65 L | +10.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x537f…bf78backed Yes | 64c | 18.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498d…d7bebacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff62…ea23backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.