Stocks · resolved market
$GME halted on Tuesday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b43fa732280bf918050a830ab939fc06c331b036eccb1999fec2505b29b2c49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Stocksevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,555
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Stocks is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Stocks | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa14b…b944backed No | 27c | 3,245$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.49 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e4…5102backed Yes | 73c | 2,486$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.22 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -67.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed No | 26c | 1,136$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 76c | 1,115$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.31 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa8…ed90backed No | 24c | 675.84$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 23c | 589.67$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.22 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbd…af92backed No | 14c | 400$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 72c | 330.43$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -70%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked Yes | 79c | 299.86$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 25c | 255$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.61 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeca…7377backed Yes | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc79…1c2abacked No | 19c | 147.37$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 19cpaid | +191.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x011d…fcf6backed Yes | 73c | 136.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe17…98e9backed Yes | 71c | 105$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6d…1afcbacked No | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x624f…970ebacked Yes | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a2…bdc5backed Yes | 80c | 17.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Stocks and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.