Movies · resolved market
Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be 95 or higher?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b3ec660ae61cd66be79eff840762379d2570ef9bebdd09f298584aa21a2be5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,050
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,050 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2032…d577backed Yes | 7c | 7,776$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.29 | 200 | 49.5%99 W · 101 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…e65abacked Yes | 7c | 5,000$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.79 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 4,059$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.46 | 142 | 12%17 W · 125 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c7…020cbacked Yes | 0c | 3,405$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf1…80a7backed Yes | 8c | 2,120$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.85 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 7c | 1,919$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.31 | 19 | 5.3%1 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 13cpaid | -88.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f5b…b598backed Yes | 2c | 1,571$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked Yes | 9c | 1,562$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 77 | 35.1%27 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b4a…739cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,016$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f4…c885backed Yes | 7c | 929.77$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 166 | 14.5%24 W · 142 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…7222backed Yes | 6c | 666.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 574.25$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 672 | 32%215 W · 457 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1854…d1a3backed Yes | 7c | 570.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.12 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a1…c98abacked Yes | 7c | 495.8$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.81 | 80 | 30%24 W · 56 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 6c | 407.25$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.38 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…5455backed Yes | 10c | 355.39$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 344$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.65 | 484 | 14%68 W · 416 L | -39.3wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3c…c31ebacked Yes | 8c | 321$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.08 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 6c | 250$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 9cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 6c | 228.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 506 | 33.4%169 W · 337 L | -30.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd8…0fe9backed Yes | 8c | 220$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 166 | 24.1%40 W · 126 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…7d32backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -69.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfead…b304backed Yes | 6c | 187.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be 95 or higher?this page
- Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 75-79?Yes won
- Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 80-84?No won
- Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 85-89?No won
- Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be between 90-94?No won
- Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 75?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.