NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Pacers Series Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2aed3ec51e80247f6e736dd194150ec616f54fed9223d35df8088d5efcbf6c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pacersof Knicks, Pacers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaaf4…7883backed Knicks | 71c | 18,028$12,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,801 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…4b3fbacked Pacers | 30c | 15,240$4,544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,696.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Pacers | 41c | 4,747$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,821.67 | 228 | 32%73 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Knicks | 71c | 4,521$3,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,229.46 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x07b8…3842backed Pacers | 26c | 3,562$942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.54 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Knicks | 58c | 3,536$2,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057.76 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Knicks | 71c | 3,390$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.14 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc04b…1424backed Pacers | 26c | 3,193$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,370.44 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Pacers | 30c | 2,777$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.67 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3980…724cbacked Knicks | 44c | 1,136$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x209c…d319backed Pacers | 24c | 1,110$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Pacers | 54c | 1,018$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.28 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…e24ebacked Knicks | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Pacers | 26c | 880$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed Knicks | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Knicks | 58c | 459.49$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.9 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe932…0f05backed Pacers | 43c | 422$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.54 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…525abacked Knicks | 71c | 284.28$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Knicks | 57c | 210.74$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.91 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff0d…3d76backed Knicks | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Pacers | 21c | 132.49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.75 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…adf3backed Pacers | 42c | 103.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd64c…650abacked Pacers | 46c | 91.3$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9d…a6d7backed Pacers | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Knicks | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Knicks | 74c | 72.73$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.82 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5024…0e5cbacked Knicks | 55c | 66.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…4209backed Knicks | 58c | 50.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…502ebacked Pacers | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x089e…6e0ebacked Pacers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…a447backed Knicks | 56c | 35.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Knicks | 58c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 145 | 60.7%88 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Knicks | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.