Ukraine · resolved market
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2024?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x128d5ef69f242fa374ed34663b568e76fb5be0d7492c811c25d36405d901a637
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $162,711
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $162,711 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 23c | 20,453$4,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,720.24 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49b6…170cbacked Yes | 6c | 4,088$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,861.39 | 37 | 24.3%9 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +90.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34ae…d4ddbacked Yes | 74c | 4,078$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 21c | 2,779$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,207.17 | 129 | 27.9%36 W · 93 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x732a…55d3backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +309.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c5…3a81backed Yes | 30c | 1,472$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,023.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed Yes | 65c | 1,450$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.96 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 25c | 1,163$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.61 | 141 | 21.3%30 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f76…33c5backed No | 72c | 1,103$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cb…7238backed Yes | 30c | 1,059$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +230.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9981…dec4backed Yes | 75c | 762.19$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked No | 30c | 750.57$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…5358backed Yes | 60c | 617.76$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.49 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34ee…fc06backed Yes | 68c | 600$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bf…d0a0backed Yes | 60c | 584.33$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3df…1a4abacked Yes | 32c | 519.42$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed No | 52c | 513.75$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.44 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9506…1cd8backed Yes | 15c | 419.06$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.01 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a4…91ecbacked Yes | 17c | 393.93$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +506%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e2…3c92backed Yes | 15c | 337.88$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +167.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…8047backed Yes | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…e881backed Yes | 15c | 324.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.89 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +164.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705f…3fcfbacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4a…0306backed Yes | 15c | 300$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3826…84efbacked Yes | 18c | 299.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +446.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba0…bdebbacked Yes | 25c | 281.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +101.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x432a…98ccbacked Yes | 20c | 278.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +411.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5975…6820backed No | 65c | 228.23$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcf45…d297backed Yes | 12c | 205.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +174.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae3…6537backed Yes | 41c | 205.78$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…fad2backed Yes | 20c | 170.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183e…e195backed Yes | 64c | 165.08$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5771backed Yes | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9750backed Yes | 35c | 142.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +151.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeba6…00debacked Yes | 41c | 127.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 24c | 125.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.52 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c94…816fbacked Yes | 62c | 124.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.02 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…09ebbacked No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bc…96c0backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd686…5c67backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +150%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa679…65afbacked Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.76per pick | 24cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7cc…4952backed Yes | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6be…629ebacked Yes | 59c | 78.46$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf038…1391backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…df9fbacked Yes | 19c | 73.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcd…cbfbbacked Yes | 63c | 72.69$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.61 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c61…ac8bbacked Yes | 28c | 71.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 28c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed No | 71c | 69.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 79c | 69.77$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…c271backed Yes | 19c | 63.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +429.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7707…0180backed Yes | 33c | 60.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +204.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 79c | 47.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88ac…480fbacked Yes | 75c | 38.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…6f77backed No | 55c | 32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd6…0ec1backed Yes | 63c | 30.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe45…0261backed Yes | 64c | 29.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa45a…334fbacked No | 72c | 27.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df1…d7fbbacked No | 67c | 25.74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…e2febacked Yes | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe583…0691backed Yes | 74c | 22.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…8ae4backed Yes | 58c | 20.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2024?this page
- Will Armenia win Eurovision 2024?No won
- Will Australia win Eurovision 2024?No won
- Will Austria win Eurovision 2024?No won
- Will Belgium win Eurovision 2024?No won
- Will Croatia win Eurovision 2024?No won
- Will Finland win Eurovision 2024?No won
- Will France win Eurovision 2024?No won
- Will Georgia win Eurovision 2024?No won
- Will Greece win Eurovision 2024?No won
- Will Iceland win Eurovision 2024?No won
- Will Ireland win Eurovision 2024?No won
- Will Israel win Eurovision 2024?No won
- Will Italy win Eurovision 2024?No won
- Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2024?No won
- Will Norway win Eurovision 2024?No won
- Will Poland win Eurovision 2024?No won
- Will Spain win Eurovision 2024?No won
- Will Sweden win Eurovision 2024?No won
- Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2024?No won
- Will another country win Eurovision 2024?No won
- Will the United Kingdom win Eurovision 2024?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.