Premier League · resolved market
Will Man City win the Premier League?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdf6de8d244138c88f511379504a75b6fa85e2ba7eee72df58ab425129ad7c6e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $58,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $58,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee76…3180backed No | 9c | 7,401$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14b…b944backed No | 9c | 5,829$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.59 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ae…d4ddbacked Yes | 72c | 5,556$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.56 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No | 24c | 5,375$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275.94 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c0…b40bbacked No | 9c | 2,778$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 18cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 70c | 2,758$1,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.89 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.24per pick | 31cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…87b3backed No | 16c | 2,732$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.98 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 63c | 1,400$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518 | 183 | 62.3%114 W · 69 L | +17.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9006…507ebacked Yes | 72c | 888.89$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.89 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed No | 31c | 675$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.5 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a56…adabbacked Yes | 33c | 600$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed No | 23c | 553.2$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f49…9f6fbacked No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…da79backed No | 55c | 258.74$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.31 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffc…8236backed Yes | 73c | 205.48$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 64c | 205$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.2 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fc…013ebacked No | 9c | 140$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad8…4cb1backed No | 9c | 115.56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa896…2043backed Yes | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 71c | 58.57$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 129 | 59.7%77 W · 52 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…9d70backed Yes | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +224.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ae…6a04backed Yes | 74c | 32.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…29afbacked Yes | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe3…aef9backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 57c | 26.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 99 | 36.4%36 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…8b6cbacked Yes | 64c | 20.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Man City win the Premier League?this page
- Will Aresnal win the Premier League?No won
- Will Liverpool win the Premier League?No won
- Will another team win the Premier League?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.