Tennis · resolved market
Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 Lexus Eastbourne Open?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x751818f17a458f9b7dd36a0683535729a4dbf5561500b43eb67d8367f2d235cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,370
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,370 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked No | 21c | 5,000$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.99 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2360…1c1cbacked Yes | 79c | 2,401$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.01 | 88 | 31.8%28 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Yes | 75c | 2,001$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.78 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 47c | 1,256$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.42 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 21c | 1,254$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.33 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 70c | 1,247$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.96 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 21c | 1,058$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.64 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 31c | 1,036$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.71 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf557…18debacked Yes | 76c | 658.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.62 | 63 | 76.2%48 W · 15 L | +11.0wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 20c | 587.01$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.16 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x168a…da29backed No | 53c | 519.23$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.51 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 47c | 489.75$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.26 | 305 | 30.8%94 W · 211 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 50c | 275.5$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.81 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed No | 51c | 258.12$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.64 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7eee…b4b2backed Yes | 60c | 248.64$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.42 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8222…8b4ebacked Yes | 78c | 220.69$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.53 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed No | 27c | 180$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked No | 72c | 178.57$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.57 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 27c | 153.8$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Yes | 45c | 138.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +12.2wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +399.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 24c | 132$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.43 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 76c | 120$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.32 | 439 | 48.5%213 W · 226 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 25c | 109$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.39 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 76c | 106.33$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Yes | 76c | 102.64$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Yes | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Yes | 77c | 87.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 104 | 57.7%60 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 70c | 83$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 44c | 82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 27c | 80.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +147.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 50c | 72.14$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 54c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 76c | 59.76$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 54c | 55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.45 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +77.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yes | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 54c | 41.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.47 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…4c5abacked Yes | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cd…bb91backed Yes | 29c | 38.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60d4…f1e4backed Yes | 50c | 38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c1…56f0backed Yes | 50c | 34.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 62c | 24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 Lexus Eastbourne Open?this page
- Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2025 Lexus Eastbourne Open?No won
- Will Jakub Mensik win the 2025 Lexus Eastbourne Open?No won
- Will Tommy Paul win the 2025 Lexus Eastbourne Open?No won
- Will Ugo Humbert win the 2025 Lexus Eastbourne Open?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.