World Politics · resolved market
Starmer inquiry into grooming gangs before February?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd94a988351508b16f29396a8b9e469f5fd098e80d719d13abfa964b7bc95dd53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,185
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,185 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x53d2…0c3fbacked Yes | 11c | 3,511$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.77 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 10cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…890cbacked Yes | 8c | 2,528$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 21cpaid | -84.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfac…b630backed Yes | 8c | 2,425$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 10c | 2,373$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.88 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11cf…45b1backed Yes | 8c | 2,137$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.94 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc979…4a98backed Yes | 12c | 2,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…4612backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.16 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -42%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f72…83adbacked Yes | 7c | 1,762$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.89 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…c629backed Yes | 9c | 1,067$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 110 | 13.6%15 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 69 | 20.3%14 W · 55 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed Yes | 9c | 733.71$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.71 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 10c | 698.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.88 | 152 | 30.3%46 W · 106 L | -18.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 9c | 555$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.45 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +8.1wins | +0.12per pick | 30cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 12c | 539$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 3c | 499.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c60…45b8backed Yes | 8c | 350$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9eb…7ad4backed Yes | 10c | 305$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…0220backed Yes | 17c | 300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 8c | 273.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e4…e6b6backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67a9…c417backed Yes | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 7c | 203.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 125 | 6.4%8 W · 117 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30f9…fbfcbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d6…0489backed Yes | 8c | 199.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2483…a40fbacked Yes | 16c | 147.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea33…28a3backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf259…7592backed Yes | 12c | 137.02$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 203 | 28.6%58 W · 145 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd91d…cd05backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0ef5backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c55…f3cbbacked Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1da0…acd8backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…9647backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb393…fa1abacked Yes | 10c | 115.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 11c | 111.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc429…2d7dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 74c | 88.45$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.71 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f0…688dbacked Yes | 25c | 77.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 75c | 70$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x430e…ed6dbacked Yes | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 199 | 57.3%114 W · 85 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.