Tennis · resolved market
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe33e8462024cd6a5f7951ff5efb6cd3007022eab35f622fac523579b641e0de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Auger-Aliassimeof Auger-Aliassime, Tabilo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,923
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,923 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Tabilo | 38c | 1,299$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.44 | 364 | 40.9%149 W · 215 L | -13.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Auger-Aliassime | 74c | 1,274$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.95 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 1,064$649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.84 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Tabilo | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Auger-Aliassime | 71c | 741$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Tabilo | 43c | 348.35$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.93 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Tabilo | 42c | 300$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Tabilo | 30c | 297.87$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Auger-Aliassime | 57c | 282.29$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.38 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bee…ca01backed Tabilo | 43c | 265$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.55 | 120 | 50%60 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…c7f5backed Tabilo | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.20per pick | 45cpaid | +39%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb11…e93fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Tabilo | 21c | 195.07$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Tabilo | 13c | 178$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 166.24$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…06c9backed Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 165.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.62 | 260 | 45%117 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024e…81e3backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 33cpaid | +95.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 60c | 150.64$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.47 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Tabilo | 23c | 146$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Tabilo | 37c | 132$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb7…04d8backed Tabilo | 42c | 120.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 141 | 40.4%57 W · 84 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Tabilo | 38c | 113.51$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.44 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Tabilo | 38c | 111.86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c0a…0684backed Auger-Aliassime | 65c | 108.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…a920backed Auger-Aliassime | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +91.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49c…773ebacked Tabilo | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 95.99$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Tabilo | 37c | 71.28$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.58 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Auger-Aliassime | 63c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Auger-Aliassime | 63c | 66$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.42 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Auger-Aliassime | 65c | 64.62$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8a8…db3dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 64c | 54.52$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Tabilo | 38c | 53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Tabilo | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 264 | 62.1%164 W · 100 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f83…a491backed Auger-Aliassime | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 257 | 43.6%112 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…f1b3backed Auger-Aliassime | 65c | 46.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…a111backed Auger-Aliassime | 70c | 32.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Auger-Aliassime | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.