TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Sharks vs. Kraken

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Krakenof Sharks, Kraken
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,415
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,415 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb71a…6fc9backed Sharks0c10,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Sharks37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x42d9…0293backed Sharks37c1,500$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.81742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0a…cadfbacked Kraken64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.98875%6 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+54.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Kraken64c1,500$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9331849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Sharks35c1,388$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.7297651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e3…4d7ebacked Sharks36c1,179$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.319251.1%47 W · 45 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Sharks4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Kraken63c953$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.6175155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Kraken63c594.95$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.1313756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Sharks34c588.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0135545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…d0d5backed Kraken65c530.46$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.6627958.8%164 W · 115 L-1.0wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Kraken63c505$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5572444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Kraken64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18050049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0338…3917backed Kraken66c490.05$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.62966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaa1…4340backed Sharks36c366.67$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322650%13 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+18.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Kraken65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.696953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken63c305.58$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.071,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kraken76c271.14$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.53,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c67…bb39backed Sharks28c250$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704742.6%20 W · 27 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Sharks6c239.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.221895.3%10 W · 179 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick5cpaid-17.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84b5…e9a2backed Kraken66c227.39$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.31944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-20.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Sharks36c220.44$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.3625552.5%134 W · 121 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Kraken61c204.99$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9528542.1%120 W · 165 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Sharks37c200$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd56…6b02backed Sharks37c146.51$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.71666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+31.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Sharks36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2235…d67fbacked Sharks36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507062.9%44 W · 26 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8769…48ecbacked Sharks37c124.32$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-16.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks39c124.26$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.461,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Kraken64c114.84$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1484051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Kraken66c101.52$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5245954.2%249 W · 210 L-1.5wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb861…9a99backed Kraken65c100.55$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.55666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+60.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Kraken65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3550857.7%293 W · 215 L+0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdd4…2fcfbacked Kraken64c99.97$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.99560%3 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick69cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb210…1317backed Kraken65c95.23$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.88475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16e0…9b96backed Kraken65c90.82$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.79425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-61.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d45…117bbacked Kraken65c82.46$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.861172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+34.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdba2…cb54backed Sharks36c80.56$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…a8f9backed Kraken66c80.3$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.31163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7790…f271backed Kraken65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3bef…9be3backed Kraken65c76.55$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.552842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1241…c496backed Sharks36c76.39$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-42.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Sharks36c70.39$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9954349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb11e…f62cbacked Sharks36c70$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Sharks37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2519852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacd0…f4f0backed Kraken65c63.85$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.35560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ad5…01a8backed Kraken64c63.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.731163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaad2…429dbacked Kraken65c62.22$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.78875%6 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+34.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x75f2…2348backed Sharks36c60.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.92850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd246…738cbacked Kraken66c57.58$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.673100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x163e…d18cbacked Sharks39c56.55$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc663…4aa8backed Kraken64c55$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8540%2 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick67cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3f1…83b0backed Sharks36c51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.36728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.24per pick53cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Sharks37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.51,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Kraken67c45.84$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1732331.3%101 W · 222 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c7…2fe4backed Sharks36c41.56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.96425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-46.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x065f…ab50backed Sharks37c41.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x49bb…9824backed Kraken66c40.65$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.852100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+55.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ee…1d46backed Kraken62c38.43$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.64100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+81.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xff91…7a9abacked Kraken65c37.2$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.02366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+17.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb6…1a48backed Kraken65c37.17$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.01333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5628…d0f2backed Sharks36c36.64$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x061d…85c9backed Sharks36c36.04$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x19d0…53e6backed Kraken64c36.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.971100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4af1…5a9ebacked Kraken65c35.5$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.42580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Kraken65c35$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.2513361.7%82 W · 51 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd229…fcd6backed Sharks35c34.98$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.241637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd5d…66f3backed Sharks36c34.14$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.29475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+47.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe217…0f9fbacked Kraken64c34.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.29250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa209…07aebacked Sharks38c32.6$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2345…a130backed Sharks36c32.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x303a…511fbacked Sharks36c32.42$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.67366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e18…7dbebacked Kraken64c32.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.58425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8227…e8f6backed Kraken65c32.15$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.25250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1e9…b557backed Kraken65c31.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d53…53f6backed Kraken65c31.23$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda60…96b2backed Sharks35c30.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.83540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3c…fb77backed Sharks36c30.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.08742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Kraken65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7715549.7%77 W · 78 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Kraken65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.778863.6%56 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x659f…b20bbacked Kraken65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.77560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe2a…c9ccbacked Sharks36c30.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.07633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-50.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1b9…2220backed Kraken66c30.37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+32.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Kraken65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.517054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45f3…fd30backed Kraken62c29.79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.324100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9173…4c22backed Kraken65c29.48$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda8f…259dbacked Kraken65c29.47$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6af8…fd39backed Kraken64c28.94$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed9…5fedbacked Kraken64c28.02$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.082100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Kraken65c24.62$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6257238.1%218 W · 354 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x646d…0bd8backed Kraken65c22.31$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59d0…cb5abacked Kraken65c21.57$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.55450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0af8…9454backed Kraken64c21.54$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7415158.3%88 W · 63 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c61…910cbacked Kraken65c20.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.27366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5e5…e953backed Kraken63c18.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.79333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5243…308cbacked Kraken64c17.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+21.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86d2…10a9backed Kraken66c17.65$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa461…8724backed Kraken65c17.47$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.12366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4c7…a1f7backed Kraken65c16.9$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.911100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.