TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,936
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,927

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,936 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x945e…2acabacked Golden Knights76c12,705$9,656 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,049.268950.6%45 W · 44 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Blues23c8,576$1,951 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,950.6731334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff0…46e3backed Blues24c6,496$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.273650%18 W · 18 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe564…e364backed Blues18c3,330$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.431040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blues1c2,200$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Golden Knights76c1,746$1,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.9944848.9%219 W · 229 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x76aa…ba27backed Blues4c1,010$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.391855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+42.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Blues1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Blues41c953.66$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39175155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe004…840abacked Golden Knights58c699.99$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.99475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+57%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Blues40c618.25$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.331849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0299…8a59backed Golden Knights58c608.93$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.75757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6619…539ebacked Blues42c599.99$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc5…48a5backed Golden Knights58c531.46$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.21520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-65.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Blues41c505$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0972444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Blues42c500$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2102466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.261,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cc0…f722backed Golden Knights59c434.62$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.195450%27 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Blues10c368.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.731,02540.8%418 W · 607 L+15.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Blues41c273.91$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.313756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8189…7b6ebacked Blues42c255$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.1333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Golden Knights59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.51,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f4c…b823backed Blues42c247.14$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.81154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x405a…6382backed Golden Knights58c247.14$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+74.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x72b5…dbefbacked Blues42c214.29$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0283…5dc7backed Blues42c187.5$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.75850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Golden Knights57c186.64$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2641851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Golden Knights58c171.74$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.7424945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Golden Knights59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4928842%121 W · 167 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Golden Knights60c166.81$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.819861.2%60 W · 38 L+0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6047…74c0backed Blues42c113.93$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.85560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Golden Knights79c111.96$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6517054.7%93 W · 77 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights59c106.76$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1992848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb43…adc0backed Blues26c105$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-34.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4e2…0187backed Golden Knights59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4113953.2%74 W · 65 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7737…e497backed Golden Knights59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+32.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb180…e610backed Golden Knights59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411080%8 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+40.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x271e…bf4ebacked Blues42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-62.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Blues19c100$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199553.7%51 W · 44 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cb1…fe4bbacked Golden Knights74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-32.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…a821backed Blues41c99.98$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9911951.3%61 W · 58 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65bb…250fbacked Golden Knights59c90.14$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.96650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc067…c09dbacked Golden Knights59c89.1$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.53850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blues41c89.08$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.521,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23be…da4fbacked Golden Knights58c86.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.2122246.8%104 W · 118 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7524…2149backed Golden Knights59c85.24$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.954245.2%19 W · 23 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd92f…c50dbacked Blues42c85.07$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.73944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e0d…1598backed Golden Knights59c84.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.752642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-22.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8843…2e85backed Blues43c83.4$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.86728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-53%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf64…8133backed Blues42c83.36$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.01633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-48.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7737…22d7backed Golden Knights59c79.37$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.541070%7 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick50cpaid+45.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x81d7…4e4fbacked Golden Knights59c76.46$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.35875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+54.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0af6…7399backed Golden Knights59c75.54$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.97850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa772…c990backed Blues43c69.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.81922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick52cpaid-58.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Blues41c67.49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9784051.4%432 W · 408 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ce9…c8dabacked Golden Knights75c66.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.67887.5%7 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick73cpaid+20.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x904b…429cbacked Golden Knights59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.650049.4%247 W · 253 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac7b…f22abacked Golden Knights59c56.12$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.011040%4 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6409…3ff8backed Golden Knights58c50$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc520…2972backed Blues42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Golden Knights57c49.99$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.549351.3%253 W · 240 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8116…f2e7backed Blues42c47.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+29%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb6…98fabacked Golden Knights58c47.08$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.68785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+56.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Blues43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2019852.5%104 W · 94 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc84a…9099backed Golden Knights76c46.13$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.163781.1%30 W · 7 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick69cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfc48…86aabacked Blues44c41.3$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.17366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad47…5bf7backed Blues42c39.96$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.78425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbad5…386bbacked Golden Knights58c39.96$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.78540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-37.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0575…56acbacked Golden Knights58c39.88$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.752100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+77.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8265…bc9ebacked Blues42c39.88$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb0cc…b4f6backed Blues42c39.78$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.71742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x630d…20d7backed Golden Knights57c38.92$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x42ae…5e26backed Blues42c38.45$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.14520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xed31…babbbacked Golden Knights58c38.45$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45f3…fd30backed Golden Knights58c38.34$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.114100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Blues42c38.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.076642.4%28 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf852…38a8backed Blues42c38.05$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.98850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x065f…ab50backed Golden Knights59c36.61$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.011833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-28.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5018…72c0backed Golden Knights58c36.6$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1494…0bd9backed Blues42c34.84$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x979f…06ebbacked Golden Knights58c34.8$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.62580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+30.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xba71…3a74backed Blues42c34.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.62560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa16d…af12backed Golden Knights58c34.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.54425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick54cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb019…dad2backed Blues43c34.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.68250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4304…97b3backed Blues42c34.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.3862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd24e…9441backed Golden Knights59c33.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.98863.6%56 W · 32 L+8.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+24.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xffc8…33afbacked Blues39c32.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.87250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6390…86d6backed Golden Knights57c32.55$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x824b…26fbbacked Blues43c32.55$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf787…c6c4backed Blues43c31.86$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.71861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+14.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ee8…3c3bbacked Blues43c31.28$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fe…e364backed Golden Knights58c31$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.02742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3977…80e7backed Blues42c30.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c93…f115backed Blues42c28.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3afe…b739backed Blues42c27.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+30.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4acf…e8dcbacked Golden Knights73c27.28$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.28955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…25d8backed Golden Knights57c26.22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ba2…84a1backed Blues41c25.86$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…1e29backed Golden Knights59c25.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.423056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-12.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Golden Knights57c25.41$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.9379251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.