Movies · resolved market
'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' record September opening?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3157ea263270be44bd68a3d6bde1f6f639be2746974f65de24e00ea6378d7838
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Moviesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $185,599
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $185,599 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Movies is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Movies | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes | 8c | 33,636$2,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,608.77 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9739…159fbacked Yes | 1c | 22,047$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.51 | 121 | 4.1%5 W · 116 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 12,842$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.92 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcab1…b2b1backed Yes | 9c | 10,013$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.73 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes | 14c | 8,232$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.73 | 163 | 50.3%82 W · 81 L | +24.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…a466backed No | 69c | 6,339$4,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.09 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,103$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -74%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1204…4ba6backed Yes | 29c | 2,659$777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…17cfbacked No | 21c | 2,509$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 17cpaid | +175.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…0cfdbacked Yes | 19c | 2,409$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.63 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +9.6wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4e…8be7backed No | 65c | 1,819$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4a…3129backed Yes | 1c | 1,678$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d6…f3bdbacked Yes | 20c | 1,563$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.49 | 88 | 40.9%36 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 12c | 1,500$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.09 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 3c | 1,400$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Yes | 5c | 1,366$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…9eb7backed Yes | 10c | 1,250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 65c | 1,200$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 326 | 39.3%128 W · 198 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…f2f6backed Yes | 8c | 1,176$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 22c | 1,092$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.64 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9314…1e98backed No | 74c | 863.97$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8564…4b2ebacked Yes | 9c | 853$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.18 | 116 | 25.9%30 W · 86 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 19c | 792.13$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.65 | 870 | 33.3%290 W · 580 L | -77.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x67bf…2c27backed Yes | 1c | 788.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed No | 74c | 733$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.57 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc417…3ca6backed No | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216e…6501backed Yes | 23c | 600$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…a83cbacked Yes | 22c | 600$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…2c66backed Yes | 11c | 597.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.09 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 20cpaid | +95.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked No | 77c | 552.08$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.68 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x240e…e8aabacked No | 80c | 500$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.02 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa6…16f9backed Yes | 21c | 499.03$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.74 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +30.5wins | +0.20per pick | 34cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 74c | 480$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.54 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Yes | 17c | 453$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb61…a3aabacked Yes | 32c | 427.2$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 30c | 420$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 11c | 420$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.2 | 66 | 39.4%26 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 15c | 400.03$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.26 | 63 | 20.6%13 W · 50 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -38%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf786…73ccbacked No | 70c | 395$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 26c | 384.84$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa69f…6874backed Yes | 25c | 370.19$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.55 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +85.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8247…d8ccbacked Yes | 19c | 367.82$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.18 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ff…b701backed Yes | 25c | 303.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…1ccebacked No | 77c | 300$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…fd6dbacked No | 80c | 300$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c3…c1a8backed Yes | 5c | 265$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…6b75backed No | 73c | 261.11$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x182b…f022backed No | 77c | 225.09$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.04 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca5…eccabacked Yes | 20c | 215.04$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 33cpaid | +166.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed Yes | 15c | 215$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351f…6815backed No | 73c | 210$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…4ab8backed No | 72c | 209.38$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6056…7227backed Yes | 6c | 209$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d52…7055backed Yes | 25c | 203.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…7a45backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…592dbacked No | 71c | 174.99$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.25 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf1…4c73backed No | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…5679backed Yes | 35c | 156$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…af05backed Yes | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 131 | 50.4%66 W · 65 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3760…e742backed Yes | 11c | 142.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3399…e5fbbacked No | 73c | 132.28$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 67c | 129.41$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.7 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80a4…22ccbacked No | 73c | 125$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f6…cf75backed Yes | 11c | 120.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c24…b601backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85d…f470backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…ebb0backed No | 71c | 99.65$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c5…b081backed No | 73c | 95.8$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked Yes | 24c | 90.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05de…6f02backed Yes | 23c | 74.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9193…c86cbacked No | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…a659backed No | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…099fbacked No | 74c | 63.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…de83backed Yes | 23c | 55.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 34cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…a022backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…1d72backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b79…b3febacked Yes | 44c | 45.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed No | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc324…4cd6backed No | 75c | 26.69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c3…ab95backed No | 79c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe85…dd86backed No | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa810…e68abacked No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Movies and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.