NFL · resolved market
Will Tyreek Hill sue the cops?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e721a430950d5040f6e45d6411e718079ca83951cad640a2b6110684c925cd5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb1d1…1e37backed Yes | 11c | 4,545$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8025…fce2backed No | 77c | 4,018$3,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62d2…9eb7backed Yes | 11c | 2,500$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.38 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 10c | 2,179$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.06 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f4…1b47backed Yes | 21c | 1,617$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…6b75backed Yes | 19c | 1,356$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -74%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…221dbacked Yes | 23c | 1,049$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb84a…159ebacked Yes | 20c | 998.72$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed No | 80c | 934.36$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.97 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed No | 80c | 628.38$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.38 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…1fb6backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 77c | 492$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.34 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…9661backed Yes | 7c | 461$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 397.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 528 | 28.6%151 W · 377 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…6fa3backed Yes | 27c | 360.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2705…dd34backed Yes | 10c | 333$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe14…a1aebacked No | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed No | 74c | 298.06$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7c…da06backed No | 72c | 249.71$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.92 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…fd6dbacked No | 72c | 249.71$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…f247backed Yes | 14c | 240.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 10c | 231.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 180 | 9.4%17 W · 163 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed Yes | 23c | 225$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe899…0899backed Yes | 25c | 223.06$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9c…d5c5backed Yes | 23c | 215$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf339…e010backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +15.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dd0…2b4bbacked No | 74c | 199.99$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1984…241ebacked Yes | 6c | 183.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…5ef7backed Yes | 22c | 181.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 12c | 145.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd8…741bbacked No | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f3a1backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fb…2771backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51b7…d333backed Yes | 21c | 94.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 221 | 42.1%93 W · 128 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…0649backed Yes | 27c | 89.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5982…fa1ebacked No | 73c | 80$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a48…4aecbacked No | 74c | 67.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed No | 79c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.61 | 168 | 32.1%54 W · 114 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacff…64ffbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa6…db6abacked No | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbea…5441backed No | 77c | 26.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…0601backed No | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…7ef9backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.