Middle East · resolved market
Israel declares war on Iran in October?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0e37d6debbdbb0c795ec083ae4bd9d1fecde170c1d84a3e7e88457df397de594
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $269,772
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $254,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,772 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 1c | 49,554$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.2 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a18…4507backed Yes | 1c | 15,924$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…f84abacked Yes | 3c | 9,895$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.67 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 1c | 7,066$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 264 | 23.9%63 W · 201 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 1c | 6,562$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.52 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed Yes | 3c | 4,835$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.52 | 284 | 27.8%79 W · 205 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 11c | 4,543$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62c3…b47abacked Yes | 10c | 4,024$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3811…2d73backed Yes | 10c | 3,027$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21dc…3c76backed Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x717e…6498backed Yes | 3c | 2,580$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.59 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaab…fc76backed Yes | 13c | 2,274$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.62 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b29…5967backed Yes | 4c | 1,825$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.81 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.39per pick | 31cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…ff06backed Yes | 4c | 1,776$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.63 | 53 | 15.1%8 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 5c | 1,609$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 18cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c36…dc29backed Yes | 13c | 1,504$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…78c2backed Yes | 22c | 1,421$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.33 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe604…0493backed Yes | 21c | 1,338$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b93…3c34backed Yes | 6c | 1,179$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa630…bf53backed Yes | 4c | 1,115$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b07…291abacked Yes | 23c | 1,087$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fa…30bebacked Yes | 9c | 1,075$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 64 | 20.3%13 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9ff5backed Yes | 14c | 1,071$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906e…a4e0backed Yes | 8c | 1,015$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.67 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -26%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0153…b512backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039e…c5e0backed Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…0f73backed Yes | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 5c | 878.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.07 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacc1…6a67backed Yes | 17c | 859.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed Yes | 21c | 854.06$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.22 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa23d…69f7backed Yes | 2c | 785.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…3f33backed Yes | 9c | 748.48$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.87 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73ac…c1f3backed Yes | 8c | 715$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b03…ac9bbacked Yes | 2c | 714.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…56c6backed Yes | 4c | 710$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.09 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Yes | 4c | 654.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2370…0e10backed Yes | 3c | 640.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…cdc9backed Yes | 16c | 608.17$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 4c | 568.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba2…95cebacked Yes | 4c | 563.65$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8f…aceebacked Yes | 5c | 534.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed4…366abacked Yes | 16c | 468.52$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3889…b339backed Yes | 4c | 464.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 15cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…6492backed No | 75c | 463.28$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.82 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd68…746abacked Yes | 16c | 459.98$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.4 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x163c…9da5backed Yes | 5c | 444.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db3…fd7ebacked Yes | 23c | 434.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 64cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13b4…f4d9backed Yes | 14c | 420.27$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Yes | 3c | 371.29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93aa…21f4backed Yes | 25c | 349.08$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.99 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e8f…f9e9backed Yes | 27c | 339.35$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5643…5390backed Yes | 30c | 335$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2705…a12abacked Yes | 15c | 334$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…2822backed Yes | 5c | 330$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…8e63backed Yes | 16c | 313.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 115 | 31.3%36 W · 79 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187f…34ddbacked Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c4…13d1backed Yes | 8c | 290.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.69 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 6c | 285.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 66 | 3%2 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 11cpaid | -95.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…563dbacked Yes | 4c | 275.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc103…1138backed Yes | 22c | 239.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6248…51cfbacked Yes | 12c | 237.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68e2…106abacked Yes | 13c | 228.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…7f57backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -42%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9e…bb02backed Yes | 12c | 216.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x996b…1e9cbacked Yes | 16c | 200$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6e…cd39backed No | 79c | 189.75$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1241…2713backed Yes | 10c | 173.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba1…ef5abacked Yes | 9c | 165$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a36dbacked Yes | 8c | 155$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe698…3b09backed Yes | 15c | 150$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -66%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 76c | 141.18$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefed…fc7ebacked Yes | 25c | 134.44$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c89…9fa4backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb715…a663backed Yes | 10c | 123.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 77c | 118.7$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…eef4backed No | 73c | 110$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 74c | 109.57$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…3e88backed No | 60c | 105$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbb…55dbbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6f…bc71backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e09…da86backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccb0…d15cbacked Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa631…9248backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572c…9a91backed Yes | 22c | 67.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…5500backed Yes | 24c | 66.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c3…c056backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f13…3100backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab75…738fbacked No | 77c | 29.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5c…3912backed No | 80c | 29.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.