NFL · resolved market
Scorigami in NFL Week 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x335d7222f69fd435ad07b478b5f657d452b634fb1dc9084501460c019f9ede63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2b5…5888backed Yes | 31c | 16,979$5,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,756.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +225.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e3…962fbacked No | 71c | 13,170$9,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,291.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c0…6b87backed Yes | 62c | 9,046$5,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,425.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked No | 50c | 6,186$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,097.3 | 324 | 38%123 W · 201 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a20…101cbacked No | 1c | 5,833$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 2cpaid | +316.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b7…ee3cbacked Yes | 25c | 3,769$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,838.61 | 118 | 39%46 W · 72 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6691…17cfbacked No | 23c | 3,524$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 9cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb27d…fc9cbacked No | 70c | 3,485$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455.53 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1856…1964backed No | 71c | 3,278$2,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,324.47 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +36%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ba…a286backed Yes | 28c | 2,380$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.92 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d9…f84bbacked Yes | 32c | 2,223$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.8 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c16…df3abacked No | 78c | 890.74$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.41 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x869f…a022backed No | 70c | 871.22$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.07 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86bf…cd49backed Yes | 13c | 838.66$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +477.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a14…0762backed Yes | 30c | 746.96$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.75 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe411…04c5backed Yes | 3c | 697.4$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.96 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +81.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b1a…efe7backed Yes | 23c | 538.85$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.46 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 60cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed No | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98cb…bd72backed No | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…bb39backed No | 68c | 500$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 202 | 46%93 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69e7…d3b0backed Yes | 30c | 428.16$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.71 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…0e21backed Yes | 24c | 394.28$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 30cpaid | +142.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57fd…b1cfbacked No | 70c | 342.86$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a36…454bbacked Yes | 24c | 340.68$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.88 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +294.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfd13…e6f1backed No | 23c | 308$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.92 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 6cpaid | +209.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8304…f086backed No | 73c | 307.14$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +280.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf1…4c73backed No | 77c | 297.89$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 74c | 271.96$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 330 | 47.9%158 W · 172 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb236…1d5dbacked Yes | 5c | 250$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.2 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0416…9b31backed No | 68c | 246.76$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1514…2624backed Yes | 32c | 220$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.8 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc465…fcfbbacked No | 70c | 213.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 71c | 198.03$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.02 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked No | 69c | 186.75$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.03 | 415 | 40.2%167 W · 248 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…efb8backed No | 69c | 186.17$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.79 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc723…05fbbacked Yes | 30c | 170$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 22cpaid | +130.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3879…0df4backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6727…db84backed No | 68c | 125$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed No | 72c | 104.17$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9488…6802backed No | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef94…502ebacked Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.15per pick | 23cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e3…8b45backed No | 74c | 95.31$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa15b…30f1backed No | 60c | 90.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x535f…5ce5backed Yes | 23c | 90$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9a…b2c6backed No | 71c | 80$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed Yes | 33c | 78.61$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.49 | 49 | 26.5%13 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…b2b5backed Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4562backed Yes | 30c | 77$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.16 | 99 | 51.5%51 W · 48 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…b93fbacked Yes | 28c | 75$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1180…8e39backed No | 70c | 75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.5 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.29per pick | 56cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe395…3020backed No | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…33c1backed No | 78c | 50.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…ee3dbacked No | 74c | 50.65$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 256 | 43.8%112 W · 144 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba3f…8b64backed No | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 148 | 48%71 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1820…e3f7backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…bf70backed No | 68c | 35.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd66a…9098backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f19…3aedbacked No | 69c | 26.16$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x413d…0db8backed No | 70c | 24.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b70…20a3backed No | 69c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc507…f6a2backed No | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3633…054ebacked No | 70c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda67…b950backed No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…23c7backed No | 71c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed No | 70c | 16.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 87 | 60.9%53 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3c…1613backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5574…6424backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.