Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump save TikTok in first 100 days?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x850bf92195e8d03219e8a292eb3c1935d4dc55ea9e902837f761faf6df25252a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,879
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,003
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,879 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7327…151abacked No | 3c | 7,124$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.36 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6718…80d1backed No | 37c | 4,513$1,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,682.58 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd398…46d7backed No | 3c | 4,356$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.14 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | +13.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x14a9…f391backed Yes | 56c | 2,934$1,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.96 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…28bdbacked No | 5c | 2,564$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.39 | 385 | 9.4%36 W · 349 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf916…9224backed Yes | 52c | 2,539$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,219.29 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 6c | 2,494$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.5 | 151 | 24.5%37 W · 114 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked No | 1c | 1,744$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 240 | 0%0 W · 240 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb0…2cb3backed No | 36c | 1,309$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc2…a7d9backed No | 3c | 1,170$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Yes | 38c | 1,063$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.94 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bfc…93f7backed No | 42c | 1,017$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd3…e662backed No | 1c | 1,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 81 | 27.2%22 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49fd…0198backed No | 14c | 957.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.4 | 159 | 24.5%39 W · 120 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…c66bbacked No | 1c | 943.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa8…d94fbacked No | 59c | 849.57$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x153b…68ddbacked No | 24c | 799.99$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +93%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed No | 17c | 700$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 70c | 677.32$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.21 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…3ccebacked No | 50c | 649.9$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.95 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208e…dfd0backed No | 12c | 623.46$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 3c | 569.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df3…bbadbacked No | 59c | 526.41$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.36 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 27cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x516d…03e5backed No | 34c | 500$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed No | 14c | 500$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 284 | 7.7%22 W · 262 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 156 | 46.8%73 W · 83 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f32…d3fbbacked No | 67c | 448.4$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 53c | 444.35$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.04 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 24c | 436.59$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 996 | 29.5%294 W · 702 L | -73.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9d…4cc1backed Yes | 68c | 425.99$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.98 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e31…18fabacked Yes | 71c | 424.51$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 25c | 409.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.35 | 303 | 19.1%58 W · 245 L | -20.6wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x008f…3104backed No | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed No | 60c | 403.6$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.28 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef0…4cdcbacked No | 50c | 402$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x23c0…564cbacked No | 26c | 389.4$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe486…2d23backed Yes | 79c | 381.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b4…770dbacked Yes | 66c | 381.09$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.96 | 148 | 43.2%64 W · 84 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 59c | 370$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.65 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…4035backed Yes | 41c | 369.38$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.93 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd970…3e65backed No | 13c | 360.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.68 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73de…c4fabacked Yes | 66c | 334$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.56 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…c908backed No | 44c | 320.45$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.6 | 85 | 47.1%40 W · 45 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93b4…cbfdbacked No | 30c | 310.15$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.75 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccb…5124backed No | 45c | 309.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe75c…f6c2backed No | 58c | 306.6$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.83 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 30c | 306.38$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.97 | 1,073 | 35.5%381 W · 692 L | -70.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed Yes | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed Yes | 35c | 286.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.57 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a2…9981backed No | 43c | 256.07$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked No | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 74c | 248.08$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.84 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb293…cb90backed No | 4c | 245$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 177 | 13%23 W · 154 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7124…70c1backed Yes | 43c | 240.46$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.06 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49d5…2e07backed Yes | 77c | 229.42$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8d…84bcbacked Yes | 69c | 220.43$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3799…cd36backed No | 47c | 220$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…08f8backed No | 58c | 219.45$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…c770backed No | 6c | 208.82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…83f5backed No | 21c | 206.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.87 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bae…5d34backed No | 31c | 202.61$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e09…c03abacked No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 92 | 48.9%45 W · 47 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x560b…d761backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ac…d62cbacked No | 10c | 199.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90e9…de83backed No | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7960…f8a8backed No | 42c | 167.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.49 | 59 | 22%13 W · 46 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed No | 65c | 159.57$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.72 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf386…c335backed No | 65c | 153.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…00edbacked No | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…511bbacked No | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked No | 42c | 144.83$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 40c | 140.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.13 | 252 | 41.7%105 W · 147 L | -17.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…f801backed Yes | 26c | 133.65$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe7…9563backed Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -40%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f0d…da48backed No | 61c | 118.84$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.49 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4921…d8e8backed No | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f23…c7d0backed Yes | 51c | 115.87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…1d13backed Yes | 42c | 100$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02b5…ab51backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…51d7backed No | 55c | 96.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbae4…c085backed No | 41c | 91.62$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70fa…196dbacked No | 59c | 90$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08f0…4ca4backed Yes | 67c | 86.64$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked No | 46c | 86.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc12…7c4fbacked No | 12c | 86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6196…ad02backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb7…f16dbacked No | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2d…bcf7backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260d…9679backed Yes | 67c | 82.75$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.54 | 286 | 36.7%105 W · 181 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb274…79dfbacked No | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x745a…64e8backed No | 37c | 72$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 170 | 21.2%36 W · 134 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9b…7606backed Yes | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0b…b4a7backed No | 47c | 66.95$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…c1b8backed Yes | 68c | 66$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e7…0ffabacked No | 48c | 62.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1572…d2d8backed Yes | 44c | 57.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +161.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f3ffbacked Yes | 39c | 54.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf289…3601backed Yes | 42c | 54.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…a7cfbacked No | 59c | 51.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.